Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) – Newbury

Newbury

15:15

Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2)

Date 2023-09-23

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £58,014

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Array Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	2213	100	103	92	14d	—	—	+7	35.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Nicely bred and improving colt; form stacks up well; ran well in AW Group 3 last time
4 (3)	Mister Sketch Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	129	—	21	-	105	82	38d	—	—	-3	20.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Close second over C&D then scored by wide margin at Salisbury; promising colt
NR (4)	Red Zone Hero Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Bell	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Bell	129	—	52101	90	104	91	8d	—	—	+17	30.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Driven clear in Doncaster nursery last week, taking record on soft going to 2-2
7 (8)	Seven Questions Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	129	—	211132	101	108	92	14d	—	—	+19	34.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent and steadily progressive; ties in with Matters Most and Array; solid claims
1 (6)	Haatem Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	132	—	135219	104	109	88	29d	—	—	+14	27.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Solid performer until form dipped in the Gimcrack; landed the Vintage two starts ago
3 (1)	Matters Most Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	31512	95	107	93	26d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	+19	29.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Largely progressive; good second in Ripon Listed most recently; could go well again
8 (5)	Spanish Phoenix Bay J:James Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:James Doyle T:Andrew Balding	129	—	41869	94	102	77	53d	—	—	+10	15.6	3.75/1	16 6%
The 7f trip may partly excuse last two efforts; still unexposed at sprint distances
NR (7)	Roman Emperor Bay J:Kevin Stott T:John Ryan	J:Kevin Stott T:John Ryan	129	—	3	-	84	56	108d	—	—	0	4.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Solid debut here in June (gelded since) but this looks a stiff task on second run

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Array	2	9/4	9/4	2	2
Mister Sketch	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	11/4
Red Zone Hero	5	11/2	5	5	5
Seven Questions	11/2	9/2	9/2	5	11/2
Haatem	11/2	11/2	5	5	5/1
Matters Most	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Spanish Phoenix	16	14	12	14	12
Roman Emperor	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Array

35.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 14 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Seven Questions

34.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Red Zone Hero

30.1

OR: 10 Form: 16.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Matters Most

29.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Haatem

27.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mister Sketch

20.8

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Spanish Phoenix

15.6

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Roman Emperor

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Haatem	104	109	88
Seven Questions	101	108	92
Array	100	103	92
Matters Most	95	107	93
Spanish Phoenix	94	102	77
Red Zone Hero	90	104	91
Mister Sketch	—	105	82
Roman Emperor	—	84	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Zone Hero	8d ago	Quick return
Array	14d ago	Fit
Seven Questions	14d ago	Fit
Matters Most	26d ago	Fit
Haatem	29d ago	Fit
Mister Sketch	38d ago	Fit
Spanish Phoenix	53d ago	Fresh
Roman Emperor	108d ago	Long break