Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

14:05

Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap

Date 2023-09-23

Distance 1m5f61y

Class Class 2

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £36,078

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Valsad Bay J:James Doyle T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:James Doyle T:Harry & Roger Charlton	131	—	43-621	91	105	91	10d	—	—	-5	16.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Best form last season came over 1m6f on soft; doing well over 1m4f lately
4 (7)	Sea King Brown J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	134	—	47-210	94	107	61	14d	—	—	0	15.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Goodwood (1m4f; made all, four ran) on soft; needs to bounce back from Haydock flop
2 (2)	Salt Bay Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	138	—	13-74	105	103	60	64d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close third in a Group 1 in France (1m, heavy) as 2yo; not so good in Listed races as 3yo
6 (6)	Oneforthegutter Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	129	—	881662	89	108	84	8d	—	—	+9	21.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
33-1 when short-headed in seven-runner race at Doncaster (14.5f, soft) eight days ago
7 (5)	Laafi Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	t	51-40	95	104	36	91d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.00/1	5 20%
Unexposed 3yo from a top yard; something to prove but he has to be given a close look
3 (3)	Get Shirty Bay J:Kevin Stott T:David Omeara	J:Kevin Stott T:David Omeara	137	t	699507	97	110	80	14d	—	—	+5	14.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Hasn't been at his best in Britain in 2023; first run on soft this year does not persuade
1 (4)	Not So Sleepy Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	138	—	2/953-	98	107	61	—	—	—	+9	18	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Can go well fresh and the testing ground is probably okay, particularly back down in trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Valsad	3	11/4	3	3	11/4
Sea King	4	9/2	4	4	9/2
Salt Bay	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Oneforthegutter	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	11/2
Laafi	5	5	5	5	5
Get Shirty	15/2	7	7	7	7
Not So Sleepy	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Oneforthegutter

21.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Not So Sleepy

OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

3rd

Salt Bay

17.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Valsad

16.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Sea King

15.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Laafi

14.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Get Shirty

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Salt Bay	105	103	60
Not So Sleepy	98	107	61
Get Shirty	97	110	80
Laafi	95	104	36
Sea King	94	107	61
Valsad	91	105	91
Oneforthegutter	89	108	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oneforthegutter	8d ago	Quick return
Valsad	10d ago	Quick return
Sea King	14d ago	Fit
Get Shirty	14d ago	Fit
Salt Bay	64d ago	Fresh
Laafi	91d ago	Long break
Not So Sleepy	—	—