Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

16:10

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,104

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Red Hat Eagle Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	133	—	3-7957	67	77	69	8d	—	—	-26	22.7	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Yet to deliver on 2yo promise but ran okay in recent Kempton handicap; good weights chance
4 (4)	Flickering Flame Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
First foal from a well-connected dam; stable has plenty of winning newcomers
3 (6)	Monkmoor Pip Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Out of a half-sister to useful 6f-7.5f winner Luxor; does not need to be anything special
2 (1)	Grey Owl Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Emma Lavelle	J:Hector Crouch T:Emma Lavelle	129	—	7	-	67	-	21d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Always behind on recent Goodwood debut but this race is much easier
5 (2)	Doras Tamar Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	124	—	24	-	74	-	71d	—	—	0	4.7	6.00/1	25 4%
No threat to winner when second of five on debut; safely held on second start
6 (3)	Kumari Star Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:George Baker	J:Trevor Whelan T:George Baker	124	—	68	-	63	26	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Showed nothing more than tiny glimmers of promise when down the field on first two starts

Horse	bet365	Coral
Red Hat Eagle	4/5	4/5
Flickering Flame	11/4	5/2
Monkmoor Pip	9/2	9/2
Grey Owl	25	22
Doras Tamar	25	20
Kumari Star	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Red Hat Eagle

22.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 16.4

4/5

2nd

Flickering Flame

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Monkmoor Pip

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Doras Tamar

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Grey Owl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Kumari Star

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Hat Eagle	67	77	69
Flickering Flame	—	—	—
Monkmoor Pip	—	—	—
Grey Owl	—	67	—
Doras Tamar	—	74	—
Kumari Star	—	63	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Hat Eagle	8d ago	Quick return
Kumari Star	18d ago	Fit
Grey Owl	21d ago	Fit
Doras Tamar	71d ago	Fresh
Flickering Flame	—	—
Monkmoor Pip	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.