Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div I) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

17:20

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Ithacas Arrow Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	107863	73	82	33	28d	—	—	-8	16	0.56/1	9/4 31%
1m4f course winner in May; returns here after good effort on turf; high on the list
11 (11)	Kodiman Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	463633	68	83	58	15d	—	—	-1	14.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has 0-9 strike-rate but looked a shade unlucky when third at Chelmsford this month
1 (8)	Tessy Lad Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	142	—	1-7172	77	82	60	24d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Kept on well for close second at Chelmsford this month; up to career-high mark here
4 (10)	Cancan In The Rain b/br J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	-43107	77	80	-	45d	—	—	+6	15.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two disappointing runs followed his 1m turf win in June; tries a new trip today
9 (5)	Snapcracklepop Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	132	tp	435489	67	85	67	31d	—	—	-2	7.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent in June/June but looked very unenthusiastic when well beaten on last two starts
5 (2)	Bloomwithgrace Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	136	—	-42263	76	81	34	20d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.00/1	9 11%
0-8 now but ran well in recent Kempton novice and current handicap mark is workable
2 (7)	Open Champion Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Alan King	J:Liam Keniry T:Alan King	141	v	699025	76	83	63	13d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Back in form when close second last month but his latest run was underwhelming
10 (1)	Taritino Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Amy Murphy	J:Marco Ghiani T:Amy Murphy	130	h	627606	70	81	-	34d	—	—	+2	7.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Went close over 7f in June but has quickly gone off the boil; first run beyond 1m today
8 (6)	Operatic Artist Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ollie Sangster	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ollie Sangster	132	t	5-4350	72	81	-	88d	—	—	+2	6.9	3.75/1	16 6%
0-6 on turf in Ireland for Joseph O'Brien; makes stable/AW debut here; James Doyle booked
6 (9)	Lady Reset Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:David Pipe	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:David Pipe	135	tb	4-4455	70	83	-	—	—	—	+2	6	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held over hurdles last time but is largely consistent, and her Flat mark is workable
3 (3)	Beau Nash Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Mitchell Hunt	140	t	1/55	75	81	-	25d	—	—	+12	13.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Won on debut in 2020 but not seen again until two heavy defeats this summer

Horse	bet365	Coral
Ithacas Arrow	9/4	9/4
Kodiman	9/2	9/2
Tessy Lad	5	6
Cancan In The Rain	15/2	15/2
Snapcracklepop	8	15/2
Bloomwithgrace	9	9
Open Champion	12	14
Taritino	16	16
Operatic Artist	16	14
Lady Reset	40	28
Beau Nash	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tessy Lad

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Ithacas Arrow

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

9/4

3rd

Bloomwithgrace

15.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

Cancan In The Rain

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Kodiman

14.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Beau Nash

13.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

Open Champion

11.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Snapcracklepop

7.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Taritino

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Operatic Artist

6.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Lady Reset

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tessy Lad	77	82	60
Cancan In The Rain	77	80	—
Bloomwithgrace	76	81	34
Open Champion	76	83	63
Beau Nash	75	81	—
Ithacas Arrow	73	82	33
Operatic Artist	72	81	—
Taritino	70	81	—
Lady Reset	70	83	—
Kodiman	68	83	58
Snapcracklepop	67	85	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Open Champion	13d ago	Quick return
Kodiman	15d ago	Fit
Bloomwithgrace	20d ago	Fit
Tessy Lad	24d ago	Fit
Beau Nash	25d ago	Fit
Ithacas Arrow	28d ago	Fit
Snapcracklepop	31d ago	Fit
Taritino	34d ago	Fit
Cancan In The Rain	45d ago	Fit
Operatic Artist	88d ago	Fresh
Lady Reset	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.