Boutique Event Hire Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Boutique Event Hire Handicap

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 2m 40.89s (slow by 2.69s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Churchella (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	3/1F	Won
2nd	Geelong (FR) Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	100/30	3
3rd	Twoforthegutter (IRE) Paddy Mathers · Christopher Kellett	22/1	.5
4th	Silver Atom (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	8/1	2
5th	Ana Emaraaty (IRE) William Pyle · Jim Goldie	100/30	0.1
6th	Visitant (GB) Shane Gray · David Thompson	11/1	1.5
7th	Beach Kitty (IRE) Ben Curtis · William Knight	11/1	1.5
8th	Strong Team (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Chris Grant	100/1	1
9th	Flammable (GB) Cieren Fallon · Archie Watson	12/1	0.3
10th	Wheres The Crumpet (GB) Alex Jary · David Thompson	50/1	2.75
11th	Lawmans Blis (IRE) George Wood · Alex French	16/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (11)	Keeponbelieving Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Liam Bailey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Liam Bailey	130	—	323775	57	-	-	63d	—	—	-42	23.7	—	—
Last at Musselburgh in July; she's no forlorn hope off an easing mark after a break
1 (12)	Geelong Bay J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	141	b	343251	61	72	60	8d	—	—	-1	23.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Wide-margin winner at Kempton latest; big shout turned out under a 5lb penalty
12 (7)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(5) T:Jim Goldie	119	b	736663	46	66	56	7d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-10	9.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still to register a victory but he arrives in good form; considered on first go at 1m4f
8 (1)	Churchella Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	127	v	293526	54	65	45	8d	—	—	-7	10.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Remains winless and she's not proving the easiest to catch right; others appeal more
5 (4)	Silver Atom Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	5781	49	67	-	10d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Off the mark for current yard at Bath ten days ago; not taken lightly despite a 3lb rise
11 (8)	Flammable Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Archie Watson	J:Cieren Fallon T:Archie Watson	121	p	803430	48	65	29	25d	—	—	-3	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In decent nick until last at Ffos Las latest; needs to bounce back on her Tapeta debut
2 (10)	Lawmans Blis Bay J:George Wood T:Alex French	J:George Wood T:Alex French	136	—	555715	56	70	54	12d	—	—	+4	10.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Won at Wolver and solid Chelmsford fifth 12 days ago; can go well again back up in trip
10 (9)	Beach Kitty Bay J:Ben Curtis T:William Knight	J:Ben Curtis T:William Knight	122	—	996084	49	60	34	26d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Not disgraced when fourth at Chelmsford 26 days ago; possibilities now going up in trip
6 (3)	Visitant Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:David Thompson	J:Shane Gray T:David Thompson	129	p	266152	49	65	-	8d	—	—	+4	12.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Has been unreliable but enjoying a good spell; this C&D scorer ought to be in the shake-up
7 (6)	Twoforthegutter Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Christopher Kellett	J:Paddy Mathers T:Christopher Kellett	129	b	493455	56	65	-	43d	—	—	-1	3.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Good form ended with Windsor fifth on last run for Ian Williams; more needed on yard debut
3 (2)	Wheres The Crumpet Chestnut J:Alex Jary(7) T:David Thompson	J:Alex Jary(7) T:David Thompson	135	p	934690	55	67	9	14d	0W/0P 1 run	—	0	2.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Has failed to kick on since sent handicapping, beating only one at Catterick latest
9 (5)	Strong Team Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Chris Grant	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Chris Grant	126	p	0-3657	46	63	55	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Doesn't seem the force of old; beat only one over C&D 18 days ago; easy to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Keeponbelieving	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Geelong	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Ana Emaraaty	4	7/2	7/2	4	4
Churchella	4	4	4	4	4
Silver Atom	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Flammable	12	11	10	11	12/1
Lawmans Blis	14	14	11	14	12/1
Beach Kitty	16	14	11	14	14/1
Visitant	14	11	10	11	12
Twoforthegutter	22	18	16	18	18
Wheres The Crumpet	40	33	28	33	33
Strong Team	100	100	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Keeponbelieving

23.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Geelong

23.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 13.4 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Silver Atom

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Visitant

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

Churchella

10.4

OR: 1 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5

Lawmans Blis

10.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Ana Emaraaty

9.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Flammable

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Twoforthegutter

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

Wheres The Crumpet

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Beach Kitty

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Strong Team

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Geelong	61	72	60
Keeponbelieving	57	—	—
Lawmans Blis	56	70	54
Twoforthegutter	56	65	—
Wheres The Crumpet	55	67	9
Churchella	54	65	45
Silver Atom	49	67	—
Beach Kitty	49	60	34
Visitant	49	65	—
Flammable	48	65	29
Ana Emaraaty	46	66	56
Strong Team	46	63	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ana Emaraaty	7d ago	Quick return
Geelong	8d ago	Quick return
Churchella	8d ago	Quick return
Visitant	8d ago	Quick return
Silver Atom	10d ago	Quick return
Lawmans Blis	12d ago	Quick return
Wheres The Crumpet	14d ago	Fit
Strong Team	18d ago	Fit
Flammable	25d ago	Fit
Beach Kitty	26d ago	Fit
Twoforthegutter	43d ago	Fit
Keeponbelieving	63d ago	Fresh