Colm Quinn BMW Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

15:45

Colm Quinn BMW Handicap

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 5f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Mickey The Steel Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:Joseph Anthony Murray	142	tp	406085	82	92	79	4d	—	—	-15	18.7	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Excellent run in Curragh premier handicap on Saturday; big player if reproducing that
3 (6)	Dream Today Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	140	tp	303501	80	93	69	15d	—	—	+7	22.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Laytown winner makes rare start over 5f; has form on soft so has to be respected
5 (7)	Aloysius Lilius Bay J:Colin Keane T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	J:Colin Keane T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	126	tb	550186	66	94	74	15d	—	—	-2	13.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Slowly away at Laytown behind Dream Today; return to 5f and soft ground should suit
4 (3)	Transcendental Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	133	—	107657	73	90	70	1d	—	—	-8	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Bit to find on recent form, including at Cork yesterday
1 (1)	Tawaazon Bay J:J M Sheridan T:James Mcauley	J:J M Sheridan T:James Mcauley	148	tb	615217	88	91	79	108d	—	—	+15	23.2	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D winner in April back from a break; trip/ground okay and respected despite huge weight
6 (2)	Thats Mad Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony Mccann	J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony Mccann	125	tb	/80-09	65	91	-	15d	—	—	+2	4.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Recent Laytown run none too encouraging; wants better ground
7 (5)	Takana Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:James Andrew Fahey	119	—	700-09	59	83	34	28d	—	—	+1	2.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Sole win came in C&D 2yo maiden, decent third in C&D handicap yesterday; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mickey The Steel	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Dream Today	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Aloysius Lilius	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Transcendental	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Tawaazon	10	9	9	9	9
Thats Mad	50	40	40/1	40	33
Takana	66	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tawaazon

23.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2

2nd

Dream Today

22.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Mickey The Steel

18.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

11/8

Aloysius Lilius

13.4

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Transcendental

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Thats Mad

4.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Takana

2.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tawaazon	88	91	79
Mickey The Steel	82	92	79
Dream Today	80	93	69
Transcendental	73	90	70
Aloysius Lilius	66	94	74
Thats Mad	65	91	—
Takana	59	83	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Transcendental	1d ago	Quick return
Mickey The Steel	4d ago	Quick return
Dream Today	15d ago	Fit
Aloysius Lilius	15d ago	Fit
Thats Mad	15d ago	Fit
Takana	28d ago	Fit
Tawaazon	108d ago	Long break