At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-09-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (2)	Al Tarfa Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	134	—	467822	63	75	56	22d	—	—	-11	21.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Second to same very progressive rival at Lingfield on last two outings; high on the list
7 (11)	Abravaggio Bay J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	134	—	611383	63	72	46	12d	—	—	-3	19.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2-5 for new stable since the summer; may have more to offer if switch to Tapeta suits
2 (7)	Light Up Our Stars Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	140	h	763455	65	78	48	22d	—	—	-9	10.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to hit top gear during light campaign this year but ran quite well over C&D this month
8 (4)	Zafaan Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:William Carver(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	—	601464	61	69	41	44d	—	—	-7	11	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unlucky not to finish closer to the target when fourth at Newcastle last month; a possible
NR (12)	Mr Trick Bay J:David Probert T:Ian Williams	J:David Probert T:Ian Williams	135	p	612403	60	73	59	2d	—	—	-6	15.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Makes quick reappearance after creditable third in quite valuable series final on Tuesday
12 (5)	Revoquable Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	125	—	314770	50	74	-	16d	—	—	-5	4.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Form has dipped since turf win in July but he's very well suited by this C&D
1 (8)	Ardbraccan Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	142	tp	397943	67	73	-	15d	—	—	0	10.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Kept on well for close third on turf this month; first AW run since 2yo debut
11 (1)	Goose Rock Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:John Ryan	J:Cieren Fallon T:John Ryan	129	t	526172	58	71	-	7d	—	—	+5	16.1	2.00/1	9 11%
Raced mainly as a sprinter but won when hiked up to 1m1f in July; can feature here
4 (3)	Masterpainter Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	136	b	13-486	65	70	-	125d	—	—	0	5.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Absent since two disappointing turf runs in the spring; has fair bit to prove on AW debut
3 (6)	One For The Frog Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	137	t	758690	62	73	43	26d	—	—	0	4.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Has become very disappointing and needs to turn a corner
9 (9)	Rainbow Mirage Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Lycett	J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Lycett	131	—	-56450	56	72	47	42d	—	—	0	2.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Yet to be placed after five starts for new stable this year; revival needed
10 (10)	Kangaroo Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	130	—	355790	59	72	43	12d	—	—	+1	2.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Always behind when 100-1 for recent stable debut; difficult to enthuse over

Horse	bet365	Coral
Al Tarfa	9/4	7/4
Abravaggio	3	5/2
Light Up Our Stars	4	7/2
Zafaan	7/2	4
Mr Trick	6	11/2
Revoquable	7	15/2
Ardbraccan	7	15/2
Goose Rock	9	9
Masterpainter	14	16
One For The Frog	20	22
Rainbow Mirage	33	40
Kangaroo	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Tarfa

21.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 10.2

9/4

2nd

Abravaggio

19.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

3rd

Goose Rock

16.1

OR: 2 Form: 11 Odds: 3.1

Mr Trick

15.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.3

11/2

Zafaan

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Light Up Our Stars

10.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ardbraccan

10.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Masterpainter

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Revoquable

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 2.9

15/2

One For The Frog

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Kangaroo

2.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Rainbow Mirage

2.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ardbraccan	67	73	—
Light Up Our Stars	65	78	48
Masterpainter	65	70	—
Al Tarfa	63	75	56
Abravaggio	63	72	46
One For The Frog	62	73	43
Zafaan	61	69	41
Mr Trick	60	73	59
Kangaroo	59	72	43
Goose Rock	58	71	—
Rainbow Mirage	56	72	47
Revoquable	50	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Trick	2d ago	Quick return
Goose Rock	7d ago	Quick return
Abravaggio	12d ago	Quick return
Kangaroo	12d ago	Quick return
Ardbraccan	15d ago	Fit
Revoquable	16d ago	Fit
Al Tarfa	22d ago	Fit
Light Up Our Stars	22d ago	Fit
One For The Frog	26d ago	Fit
Rainbow Mirage	42d ago	Fit
Zafaan	44d ago	Fit
Masterpainter	125d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.