Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap (Div II) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

17:15

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 2m 6.05s (slow by 4.75s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Someone's Wish (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Robert Eddery	5/2F	Won
2nd	Crazy Maisie (IRE) Christian Howarth · Mark Hoad	15/2	0.1
3rd	Bbob Alula (GB) Luke Morris · Bill Turner	12/1	.75
4th	Jimmy Mark (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Stuart Kittow	3/1	0.05
5th	Streetstorm (GB) Hollie Doyle · Christine Dunnett	9/1	0.2
6th	Florence Street (GB) Rob Hornby · Lydia Richards	28/1	0.3
7th	The Game Is Up (GB) J F Egan · Pat Phelan	33/1	0.2
8th	Brigantes Warrior (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	100/30	1
9th	Blairlogie (GB) William Carson · Laura Mongan	66/1	9.5
10th	Ju Ju Gabor (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Roger Ingram	18/1	6
11th	Lady Of Nepal (GB) Neil Callan · Tony Carroll	33/1	1.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Someones Wish Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	130	—	6981	51	66	36	10d	—	—	-7	17.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Well backed when winning at Wolverhampton on recent h'cap debut; more to come; big player
9 (7)	Jimmy Mark Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	128	—	614551	49	65	-	22d	—	—	-5	19.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Two Bath wins over 1m2f this season; one to take seriously on his AW debut
1 (4)	Brigantes Warrior Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	135	—	9090	52	56	-	31d	—	—	-14	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to show much, tailed off on handicap debut latest; down in grade but carries risk
3 (10)	Crazy Maisie Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Mark Hoad	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Mark Hoad	133	—	426606	50	64	65	22d	—	—	-5	3.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Big chance on this winter's form but she's been out of sorts more recently
7 (5)	Bbob Alula Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Bill Turner	J:Luke Morris T:Bill Turner	129	tp	-06546	46	59	-	17d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Down in the weights after a quiet 2023 so far; cheekpieces return; enough to prove for now
4 (6)	Streetstorm Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Christine Dunnett	J:Hollie Doyle T:Christine Dunnett	131	p	250680	52	63	63	21d	—	—	-3	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
One good run here (1m) for Ed Dunlop; well beaten on stable debut last month; risky
6 (11)	Ju Ju Gabor Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Roger Ingram	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Roger Ingram	129	p	06-099	46	62	24	21d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Unplaced all 10 runs in Ireland & finished last on stable debut last month; new headgear
11 (2)	The Game Is Up Bay J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	125	—	483949	46	60	36	45d	—	—	-1	1.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Patchy overall record; lost action 2f out and well beaten latest; stamina not assured
2 (8)	Florence Street Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Lydia Richards	J:Rob Hornby T:Lydia Richards	133	v	99-P90	50	65	25	17d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
1m winner here one year ago; struggled badly in three runs back from an eight-month break
10 (9)	Lady Of Nepal Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	128	—	54500	49	60	17	15d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Heavy defeats in both handicap runs; down in the weights but not easily recommended
8 (3)	Blairlogie Bay J:William Carson T:Laura Mongan	J:William Carson T:Laura Mongan	129	p	60-069	46	57	18	35d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Just one win from 38 starts; not fired so far in 2023 and others look much safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Someones Wish	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Jimmy Mark	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Brigantes Warrior	7/2	3	3	16/5	3
Crazy Maisie	10	9	9/1	10	10
Bbob Alula	14	12	12	12/1	14
Streetstorm	16	14	14	14	16
Ju Ju Gabor	25	22	22	22	25
The Game Is Up	40	33	28/1	33	33
Florence Street	33	33	28	33	33
Lady Of Nepal	40	33	33/1	40	33
Blairlogie	80	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jimmy Mark

19.3

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Someones Wish

17.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Brigantes Warrior

6.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Crazy Maisie

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

Streetstorm

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

The Game Is Up

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9

Bbob Alula

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ju Ju Gabor

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Florence Street

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Lady Of Nepal

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Blairlogie

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brigantes Warrior	52	56	—
Streetstorm	52	63	63
Someones Wish	51	66	36
Crazy Maisie	50	64	65
Florence Street	50	65	25
Jimmy Mark	49	65	—
Lady Of Nepal	49	60	17
Bbob Alula	46	59	—
Ju Ju Gabor	46	62	24
The Game Is Up	46	60	36
Blairlogie	46	57	18

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Someones Wish	10d ago	Quick return
Lady Of Nepal	15d ago	Fit
Bbob Alula	17d ago	Fit
Florence Street	17d ago	Fit
Streetstorm	21d ago	Fit
Ju Ju Gabor	21d ago	Fit
Jimmy Mark	22d ago	Fit
Crazy Maisie	22d ago	Fit
Brigantes Warrior	31d ago	Fit
Blairlogie	35d ago	Fit
The Game Is Up	45d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.