Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:35

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Artisan Dancer Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	686111	68	75	54	20d	—	—	+2	38.3	0.31/1	5/4 44%
3-4 on AW, completing hat-trick at Lingfield three weeks ago; big chance
3 (1)	Charlies Choice Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	132	—	3553	66	70	33	30d	—	—	-2	11.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Chased home two last-time-out winners on handicap debut at Kempton; high on the list
7 (8)	Zivaniya Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Hugo Palmer	128	v	-56265	62	76	69	30d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-8; none too consistent and risky in first-time visor (replacing cheekpieces)
5 (4)	We Still Believe b/br J:Ben Curtis T:Daragh Bourke	J:Ben Curtis T:Daragh Bourke	131	—	081271	59	74	58	10d	—	—	+9	21.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Often runs here, clearcut winner (1m2f) last week; stamina to prove but can't be ruled out
4 (7)	Kittykarma Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	p	886215	65	72	-	15d	—	—	+7	15.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Arrives in good form on turf and shaped well on only previous AW outing; respected
8 (2)	Rampant Bay J:Sam James T:Ewan Whillans	J:Sam James T:Ewan Whillans	125	—	875296	59	77	45	12d	—	—	+1	6.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Repeat of short-head second over 1m2f here in August would put him firmly in the picture
1 (3)	Percy Willis Bay J:P J McDonald T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:P J McDonald T:Jedd Okeeffe	142	p	57-433	70	73	58	—	—	—	+2	6.1	6.00/1	25 4%
C&D winner; has been hurdling; would have a chance if ready after six months off
6 (5)	Alanine Grey Roan J:Connor Beasley T:John Davies	J:Connor Beasley T:John Davies	129	tp	70408	57	69	-	17d	—	—	0	2.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Well held in handicaps last two runs; cheekpieces added to tongue-strap; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Artisan Dancer	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Charlies Choice	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Zivaniya	11/2	5	11/2	5	5
We Still Believe	15/2	13/2	7	7	7
Kittykarma	17/2	15/2	8	15/2	8
Rampant	12	12	12	12	12
Percy Willis	25	20	22	22	22
Alanine	100	80	80/1	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Artisan Dancer

38.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 22 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

We Still Believe

21.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Kittykarma

15.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Charlies Choice

11.9

OR: 4 Form: 3.9 Odds: 4

9/2

Zivaniya

9.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Rampant

6.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Percy Willis

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Alanine

2.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Percy Willis	70	73	58
Artisan Dancer	68	75	54
Charlies Choice	66	70	33
Kittykarma	65	72	—
Zivaniya	62	76	69
We Still Believe	59	74	58
Rampant	59	77	45
Alanine	57	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
We Still Believe	10d ago	Quick return
Rampant	12d ago	Quick return
Kittykarma	15d ago	Fit
Alanine	17d ago	Fit
Artisan Dancer	20d ago	Fit
Charlies Choice	30d ago	Fit
Zivaniya	30d ago	Fit
Percy Willis	—	—