Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Curragh

14:55

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 6f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €14,750

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (13)	Slaney Swagger Brown J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	128	—	4	-	91	83	13d	—	—	-20	8.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Recent debut fourth won't need to improve too much to play a major role
10 (8)	Next Trick Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Half-sister to Sea Silk Road; may want further
8 (3)	Four Blondes Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:Ross Osullivan	J:Gary Carroll T:Ross Osullivan	125	—	395	-	89	70	23d	—	—	-10	5.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Naas fifth her best run yet; more needed here but going the right way
NR (6)	Blame Thechampagne Bay J:TBC T:Mrs John Harrington	J: T:Mrs John Harrington	121	b	445657	77	87	82	94d	—	—	-9	13.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Highly-tried; would have a chance on her best form but isn't progressing
11 (5)	Many Thanks Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	123	—	6	-	85	73	72d	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable debut in hot Leopardstown maiden in July; considered here in a weaker race
9 (11)	Letherfly Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Respected source so market watch advised on debut
13 (7)	Thrifty Of Digby Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Debutante stoutly-bred on the damside, likely all the better for the experience
2 (2)	Apachetwohundred Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	J:Seamie Heffernan T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	130	—	3	-	63	11	31d	—	—	+1	3.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Cork debut third has been well franked since
6 (4)	French Fizz Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Debutant of limited appeal on breeding
3 (10)	Auguste Lumiere Bay J:Luke McAteer T:J S Bolger	J:Luke McAteer T:J S Bolger	130	—	89	-	76	64	13d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Safely held both previous runs here; probably more one for a nursery
1 (14)	Valentino Express Bay J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan & G Oleary	132	t	64	-	80	53	23d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Has shown ability in Naas maidens although a bit keen latest; more likely needed
4 (9)	Abiding Star Bay J:Leigh Roche T:John Patrick Hayes	J:Leigh Roche T:John Patrick Hayes	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Starspangledbanner filly; newcomer best watched
12 (12)	Mary Shoelaces Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Declan McDonogh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	123	—	80	-	70	59	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Well held both starts over 5f, can only be watched for now
7 (1)	Our Major Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:J Larkin	J:Mikey Sheehy T:J Larkin	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Of no appeal on breeding and can only be watched on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Slaney Swagger	2	15/8	2	2	15/8
Next Trick	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Four Blondes	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Blame Thechampagne	8	8	15/2	8	8
Many Thanks	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Letherfly	18	16	14/1	16	16
Thrifty Of Digby	16	16	14	16	16
Apachetwohundred	40	33	33	33	33
French Fizz	40	33	28	33	33
Auguste Lumiere	16	14	14	14	14
Valentino Express	50	40	40	40	40
Abiding Star	50	50	50	50	50
Mary Shoelaces	100	80	50	80	80
Our Major	250	150	150/1	150	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blame Thechampagne

13.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.5

15/2

2nd

Slaney Swagger

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Four Blondes

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Next Trick

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Many Thanks

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Apachetwohundred

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Letherfly

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Thrifty Of Digby

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Auguste Lumiere

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

French Fizz

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Valentino Express

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Abiding Star

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Mary Shoelaces

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Our Major

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blame Thechampagne	77	87	82
Slaney Swagger	—	91	83
Next Trick	—	—	—
Four Blondes	—	89	70
Many Thanks	—	85	73
Letherfly	—	—	—
Thrifty Of Digby	—	—	—
Apachetwohundred	—	63	11
French Fizz	—	—	—
Auguste Lumiere	—	76	64
Valentino Express	—	80	53
Abiding Star	—	—	—
Mary Shoelaces	—	70	59
Our Major	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mary Shoelaces	11d ago	Quick return
Slaney Swagger	13d ago	Quick return
Auguste Lumiere	13d ago	Quick return
Four Blondes	23d ago	Fit
Valentino Express	23d ago	Fit
Apachetwohundred	31d ago	Fit
Many Thanks	72d ago	Fresh
Blame Thechampagne	94d ago	Long break
Next Trick	—	—
Letherfly	—	—
Thrifty Of Digby	—	—
French Fizz	—	—
Abiding Star	—	—
Our Major	—	—