British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

13:30

British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £36,078

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (1)	Whispering Words Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Appleby	J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Appleby	130	—	5-12	88	101	33	15d	—	—	-5	15.7	3/1 25%
Considerable promise in 1m novices and the step up to 1m2f looks a positive move
5 (2)	Totnes Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	133	—	433112	91	100	92	14d	—	—	+17	33.8	4/1 20%
3yo who has won four of her ten starts and could still have more to offer
NR (11)	Red Danielle Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	132	h	2621	90	104	77	52d	—	—	+15	29	9/2 18%
Plenty of promise in novice races and she has potential off her opening mark
10 (9)	Lady Boba Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	124	—	3-21	82	99	-	68d	—	—	-4	15.8	10/3 23%
Thrust into a tough race on handicap debut but she's unexposed and has a classy pedigree
2 (4)	Lady Alara Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Charles Hills	J:Kevin Stott T:Charles Hills	137	—	-80012	95	98	83	14d	—	—	+15	26.6	13/2 13%
In fine form in 1m handicaps the last twice and her pedigree suggests 1m2f will suit
1 (6)	Madame Ambassador Chestnut J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	138	p	657821	92	98	74	14d	—	—	+20	25.6	14 7%
Comfortably made all over C&D recently; this is hotter but she could make another bold bid
8 (7)	Queen Regent Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	129	—	3125	87	100	59	51d	—	—	+15	20	16 6%
Still early days but she looked beaten when hampered at 2f pole on handicap debut
9 (8)	Prenup Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	126	—	341413	80	98	87	43d	—	—	+17	21.9	20 5%
Three wins this year and another good run at York last time, but may find a few too good
3 (10)	Morning Poem Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	135	p	9125-8	89	102	72	17d	—	—	+6	11.1	16/1 6%
Respectable Listed effort on belated reappearance and could build on that run today
11 (3)	Aiming High Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	122	h	432864	76	98	88	43d	—	—	+4	10.2	16 6%
Edging down the weights but she needs something extra if she's to return to winning ways
4 (5)	Crystallium Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	135	p	-77540	93	96	53	56d	—	—	+8	11.6	33/1 3%
A case can be made on her Listed fourth in July but she was well beaten last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Whispering Words	3	3	3	3/1	3
Totnes	4	7/2	7/2	4/1	4
Red Danielle	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Lady Boba	3	10/3	3	16/5	10/3
Lady Alara	13/2	6	6	6/1	6
Madame Ambassador	14	14	14	14	14
Queen Regent	14	14	16	14/1	14
Prenup	18	18	20	18	18/1
Morning Poem	16	14	16	16/1	16/1
Aiming High	16	14	14	14/1	14/1
Crystallium	33/1	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Totnes

33.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Red Danielle

OR: 10 Form: 15 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Lady Alara

26.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Madame Ambassador

25.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.6

Prenup

21.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.4

Queen Regent

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.4

Lady Boba

15.8

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Whispering Words

15.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Crystallium

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Morning Poem

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Aiming High

10.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Alara	95	98	83
Crystallium	93	96	53
Madame Ambassador	92	98	74
Totnes	91	100	92
Red Danielle	90	104	77
Morning Poem	89	102	72
Whispering Words	88	101	33
Queen Regent	87	100	59
Lady Boba	82	99	—
Prenup	80	98	87
Aiming High	76	98	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Totnes	14d ago	Fit
Lady Alara	14d ago	Fit
Madame Ambassador	14d ago	Fit
Whispering Words	15d ago	Fit
Morning Poem	17d ago	Fit
Prenup	43d ago	Fit
Aiming High	43d ago	Fit
Queen Regent	51d ago	Fresh
Red Danielle	52d ago	Fresh
Crystallium	56d ago	Fresh
Lady Boba	68d ago	Fresh