bet365 Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

bet365 Handicap

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,956

Winning Time 1m 12.42s (slow by 0.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Change Sings (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/2	Won
2nd	Minnetonka (IRE) Sam Hitchcott · Richard Hannon	11/2	.75
3rd	Song For Whoever (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	20/1	1.25
4th	Batal Dubai (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Harry & Roger Charlton	4/1J	.5
5th	Zero Carbon (FR) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	6/1	1.25
6th	Bosh (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	13/2	0.1
7th	First Folio (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	4/1J	.75
8th	Sporting Hero (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	12/1	1
9th	Tabdeed (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	50/1	.75
10th	Princess Shabnam (IRE) Darragh Keenan · S Woods	28/1	4.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (8)	Change Sings Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	—	374131	78	101	91	29d	—	—	+11	29.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-2 in AW handicaps, but up 4lb in a better race and not sure he can dominate these rivals
8 (4)	Minnetonka Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	132	—	604122	85	103	83	9d	—	—	+5	29.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner who looked unlucky at Newmarket nine days ago; one to be interested in
1 (2)	First Folio Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	140	p	400833	92	101	37	16d	—	—	+6	19.6	1.00/1	5 20%
5lb below his last winning mark, but this still looks a tough ask
5 (1)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry & Roger Charlton	136	—	-71073	89	102	88	23d	—	—	+5	20.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual Tapeta winner; one for the shortlist if getting the breaks from the inside stall
4 (3)	Bosh Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	138	—	340-07	90	98	66	30d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Caught the eye over C&D last time and one to consider if enjoying a kinder passage
7 (7)	Zero Carbon Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	134	p	519812	86	98	78	31d	—	—	+16	25.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Record on the AW reads 3112112 and second in this last year; should run another big race
9 (10)	Sporting Hero Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	131	p	11-673	84	98	69	24d	—	—	+3	10.7	2.50/1	11 9%
AW record reads 113, but still to prove he stays this far and drawn widest; cheekpieces on
6 (6)	Song For Whoever Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	134	p	-10678	87	98	82	22d	—	—	+8	12.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Return to the AW may help, but others look more solid; cheekpieces on
3 (5)	Princess Shabnam Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	J:Darragh Keenan T:S Woods	139	t	502674	91	98	75	23d	—	—	+9	12.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Not very consistent since winning a Listed race at Pontefract in August last year
2 (9)	Tabdeed Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	140	—	0-0056	92	98	-	16d	—	—	+8	11.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Losing run up to 19 despite plummeting down the weights; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Change Sings	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	4
Minnetonka	10/3	4	7/2	3	7/2
First Folio	5	5	5	5	5
Batal Dubai	9/2	5	11/2	11/2	5
Bosh	15/2	7	15/2	6	7
Zero Carbon	15/2	7	15/2	7	15/2
Sporting Hero	11	10	9	9	11
Song For Whoever	22	20	22	20	22
Princess Shabnam	33	28	28	25	25
Tabdeed	28	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Minnetonka

29.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.3

7/2

2nd

Change Sings

29.3

OR: 7 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Zero Carbon

25.9

OR: 9 Form: 14 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Batal Dubai

20.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

11/2

First Folio

19.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

Bosh

13.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Princess Shabnam

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Song For Whoever

12.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

Tabdeed

11.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Sporting Hero

10.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Folio	92	101	37
Tabdeed	92	98	—
Princess Shabnam	91	98	75
Bosh	90	98	66
Batal Dubai	89	102	88
Song For Whoever	87	98	82
Zero Carbon	86	98	78
Minnetonka	85	103	83
Sporting Hero	84	98	69
Change Sings	78	101	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Minnetonka	9d ago	Quick return
First Folio	16d ago	Fit
Tabdeed	16d ago	Fit
Song For Whoever	22d ago	Fit
Batal Dubai	23d ago	Fit
Princess Shabnam	23d ago	Fit
Sporting Hero	24d ago	Fit
Change Sings	29d ago	Fit
Bosh	30d ago	Fit
Zero Carbon	31d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.