Price Promise At bet365 Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00

Price Promise At bet365 Handicap

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 13.12s (slow by 1.22s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Regal Envoy (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · William Knight	9/1	Won
2nd	How Impressive (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Hugo Palmer	11/10F	2.75
3rd	Belle Fourche (IRE) Richard Oliver · David O'Meara	11/1	0.2
4th	Fifty Year Storm (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	7/1	0.1
5th	El Hombre (GB) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	9/1	1.25
6th	The Princes Poet (GB) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	14/1	1.25
7th	Some Nightmare (IRE) Charlie Bennett · John O'Shea	22/1	.5
8th	Mokaatil (GB) Joe Fanning · Ian Williams	12/1	.75
9th	Kessaar Power (IRE) J F Egan · Phil McEntee	14/1	2
10th	Mellys Flyer (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Wallis	20/1	0.2
11th	Beauzon (GB) Darragh Keenan · Ian Williams	40/1	5

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	How Impressive Chestnut J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Hugo Palmer	138	tv	540321	74	88	78	17d	—	—	-8	35.2	11/10 48%
Made all at Yarmouth last time; has won on Tapets and respected from 2lb higher
7 (4)	Fifty Year Storm Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	134	—	31-922	71	80	65	35d	—	—	-1	7.8	17/2 11%
Polytrack winner who remains unexposed after just five starts; one for the shortlist
9 (11)	Mokaatil Brown J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	132	v	590655	68	87	-	11d	—	—	-3	7.4	17/2 11%
1-16 on the AW and opposable from the outside stall
5 (10)	Regal Envoy Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:William Knight	135	v	276013	71	82	-	21d	—	—	+8	18.1	17/2 11%
In good form at Bath lately; has run well over C&D but drawn wide
8 (1)	El Hombre Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	451555	69	83	67	14d	—	—	+1	10.3	11 9%
Three-time C&D winner who may have needed his recent return; capable of playing a part
11 (9)	The Princes Poet Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	p	014773	66	87	-	33d	—	—	+4	10.9	14 7%
Down another 2lb and this Polytrack winner could figure if as effective back on Tapeta
4 (5)	Kessaar Power Bay J:J F Egan T:Phil Mcentee	J:J F Egan T:Phil Mcentee	137	—	627704	74	84	52	22d	—	—	+3	8.4	20 5%
Fourth on debut for this yard at Chester last month; each-way claims if building on that
2 (2)	Mellys Flyer Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Wallis	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Wallis	138	h	515084	74	84	65	50d	—	—	+4	9.6	22 5%
1lb lower than when winning over C&D in April, but modest since; stable debut
3 (6)	Some Nightmare Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	137	b	242304	73	85	-	32d	—	—	+5	10.1	25 4%
C&D winner, but not seen here since March 2022; 1lb below last winning mark; interesting
6 (7)	Belle Fourche Bay J:Richard Oliver T:David Omeara	J:Richard Oliver T:David Omeara	134	tv	7-3087	70	76	47	14d	—	—	+1	6.6	22 5%
C&D winner who ran well on her reappearance here in July, but hasn't built on it; visor on
10 (8)	Beauzon Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Ian Williams	J:Darragh Keenan T:Ian Williams	131	h	193240	67	79	78	12d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+6	8.4	40 3%
C&D winner, but well beaten on recent stable debut; enough to prove for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
How Impressive	1	1	11/10	1	1
Fifty Year Storm	9	17/2	9	8	8
Mokaatil	8	8	17/2	8	8
Regal Envoy	9	8	17/2	8	8
El Hombre	11	17/2	8	8	15/2
The Princes Poet	14	12	12	12	14
Kessaar Power	20	18	18	16	16
Mellys Flyer	16	20	22	20	22
Some Nightmare	25	20	20	18	22
Belle Fourche	18	20	22	12	22
Beauzon	28	40	40	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

How Impressive

35.2

OR: 6 Form: 15 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Regal Envoy

18.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

The Princes Poet

10.9

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

El Hombre

10.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

Some Nightmare

10.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Mellys Flyer

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

Kessaar Power

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Beauzon

8.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.8

Fifty Year Storm

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Mokaatil

7.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Belle Fourche

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
How Impressive	74	88	78
Kessaar Power	74	84	52
Mellys Flyer	74	84	65
Some Nightmare	73	85	—
Fifty Year Storm	71	80	65
Regal Envoy	71	82	—
Belle Fourche	70	76	47
El Hombre	69	83	67
Mokaatil	68	87	—
Beauzon	67	79	78
The Princes Poet	66	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mokaatil	11d ago	Quick return
Beauzon	12d ago	Quick return
El Hombre	14d ago	Fit
Belle Fourche	14d ago	Fit
How Impressive	17d ago	Fit
Regal Envoy	21d ago	Fit
Kessaar Power	22d ago	Fit
Some Nightmare	32d ago	Fit
The Princes Poet	33d ago	Fit
Fifty Year Storm	35d ago	Fit
Mellys Flyer	50d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.