Northern Commercials New And Used Commercial Vehicles EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Pontefract

14:00

Date 2023-10-09

Distance 1m2f5y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Prepschool Grey J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	133	—	621	85	93	87	51d	—	—	-8	37.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Improving and scored at Ripon (1m, good to soft) latest; scope for more up in trip
7 (4)	The Hun Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	130	—	22	-	87	61	20d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Beaten by both Prepschool and Curran in his two starts, so more needed to win
1 (6)	Curran Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	41	-	86	14	20d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Carries penalty for winning but there is potential for him to improve again; respected
6 (2)	Synchronize Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jason Watson T:John & Thady Gosden	130	b	—	-	37	-	11d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Blew the start and ran green, beaten 28l on debut; blinkers go on; much more needed
5 (7)	Love Safari Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Charlie Johnston	J:Ben Curtis T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	3	-	68	34	32d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Green and over 11l third in a Carlisle novice event last month; should come on for that
3 (3)	Agostino Masucci Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ollie Sangster	J:P J McDonald T:Ollie Sangster	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Brother to 1m/12.5f winner Jumellea (RPR 92); gelded; trainer 21% with turf 2yos in 2023
8 (8)	Flavor Bay J:Connor Beasley T:John Butler	J:Connor Beasley T:John Butler	125	—	77	-	72	45	24d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Step up in trip looks a positive but more of a handicap proposition
4 (5)	Cestrian Spirit Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	00	-	37	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	99.75/1	400 0%
Has failed to beat an opponent in two starts; can only watch

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Prepschool	10/11	10/11	1	10/11	5/6
The Hun	3	3	3	3	3
Curran	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Synchronize	9	8	8	8	17/2
Love Safari	11	11	12	12	12
Agostino Masucci	20	18	18	20	20
Flavor	50	40	40	40	40
Cestrian Spirit	400	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prepschool

37.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

The Hun

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Curran

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Love Safari

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Synchronize

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Agostino Masucci

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Flavor

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Cestrian Spirit

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

400

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prepschool	85	93	87
The Hun	—	87	61
Curran	—	86	14
Synchronize	—	37	—
Love Safari	—	68	34
Agostino Masucci	—	—	—
Flavor	—	72	45
Cestrian Spirit	—	37	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Synchronize	11d ago	Quick return
Cestrian Spirit	18d ago	Fit
The Hun	20d ago	Fit
Curran	20d ago	Fit
Flavor	24d ago	Fit
Love Safari	32d ago	Fit
Prepschool	51d ago	Fresh
Agostino Masucci	—	—