Fireworks 5th November Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Fireworks 5th November Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (8)	Labiqa Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	125	—	-68421	63	83	75	9d	—	—	+3	22.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Suited by step up to 1m at Lingfield last time; should have more to offer
5 (5)	Distinguished Lady Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Darryll Holland	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Darryll Holland	137	—	577724	75	86	75	28d	—	—	+1	13.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back in better form returned to AW last month; sole win came here last October
2 (9)	Moonspirit Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	139	p	41433	77	81	57	37d	—	—	+6	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent efforts on AW since Bath success; solid chance in first-time headgear
1 (2)	Tango Tonight Chestnut J:Joshua Bryan T:Hughie Morrison	J:Joshua Bryan T:Hughie Morrison	141	—	2-8422	76	81	20	24d	—	—	+2	13.1	2.00/1	9 11%
Runner-up in fillies' handicaps at Sandown the last twice; possibilities dropped in grade
6 (11)	Dreamrocker Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	137	—	61	75	80	18	58d	—	—	+9	18.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Twice-raced filly who should improve a lot further judged on pedigree; respected
11 (4)	Fitz Perfectly Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Fellowes	124	p	43D0646	62	79	71	38d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.50/1	7 14%
No improvement for cheekpieces the last twice; still a maiden
9 (1)	Glory Sky Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	127	—	421865	65	79	69	9d	—	—	+1	10.3	2.50/1	11 9%
Has stayed on from rear in both starts since returned to AW
3 (6)	Valkyrian Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jamie Osborne	139	—	654716	77	79	58	9d	—	—	+9	15.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Both wins on turf; 0-8 on AW; not the percentage call
4 (7)	Victoria Grove Bay J:Neil Callan T:Henry Spiller	J:Neil Callan T:Henry Spiller	137	—	8-6360	72	81	-	55d	—	—	+1	7.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Defied a 5lb higher mark in this race last year; good chance if back in same form
7 (3)	Exigency Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	132	—	452236	67	79	71	19d	—	—	+6	12	5.25/1	22 5%
0-11 in Britain but has each-way hopes on best recent form
8 (10)	Ardbraccan Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	tp	979436	66	80	48	16d	—	—	+4	6.7	16.25/1	66 2%
0-9 for current stable; form dipped in AW event most recently

Horse	bet365	Coral
Labiqa	7/2	10/3
Distinguished Lady	11/2	11/2
Moonspirit	6	11/2
Tango Tonight	9	15/2
Dreamrocker	15/2	15/2
Fitz Perfectly	7	7
Glory Sky	17/2	11
Valkyrian	12	12
Victoria Grove	14	14
Exigency	22	16
Ardbraccan	66	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Labiqa

22.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Dreamrocker

18.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Moonspirit

18.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Valkyrian

15.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Distinguished Lady

13.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Tango Tonight

13.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

Exigency

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.6

Glory Sky

10.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

Victoria Grove

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ardbraccan

6.7

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

Fitz Perfectly

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonspirit	77	81	57
Valkyrian	77	79	58
Tango Tonight	76	81	20
Distinguished Lady	75	86	75
Dreamrocker	75	80	18
Victoria Grove	72	81	—
Exigency	67	79	71
Ardbraccan	66	80	48
Glory Sky	65	79	69
Labiqa	63	83	75
Fitz Perfectly	62	79	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Labiqa	9d ago	Quick return
Glory Sky	9d ago	Quick return
Valkyrian	9d ago	Quick return
Ardbraccan	16d ago	Fit
Exigency	19d ago	Fit
Tango Tonight	24d ago	Fit
Distinguished Lady	28d ago	Fit
Moonspirit	37d ago	Fit
Fitz Perfectly	38d ago	Fit
Victoria Grove	55d ago	Fresh
Dreamrocker	58d ago	Fresh