Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:00

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Winning Time 1m 22.42s (fast by 0.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cloud Cover (IRE) Neil Callan · James Tate	100/30F	Won
2nd	Sir Oliver (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	14/1	.5
3rd	Riot (IRE) Billy Loughnane · David O'Meara	14/1	.5
4th	G'Daay (GB) Dylan Hogan · Joseph Parr	9/1	1.75
5th	American Belle (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	13/2	0.3
6th	Lion's Dream (FR) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	12/1	.5
7th	Jilly Cooper (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Charlie Johnston	16/1	0.3
8th	Okami (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	15/2	1.25
9th	Welleef (IRE) Ross Coakley · Owen Burrows	11/2	.5
10th	Imperial Dream (IRE) Morgan Cole · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	13/2	2
11th	Priscilla's Wish (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Philip McBride	22/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Welleef Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Owen Burrows	J:Ross Coakley T:Owen Burrows	139	—	135	81	86	-	21d	—	—	-1	21.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ready 7f winner on soft turf; had ground/trip excuses since; has some potential; AW debut
8 (1)	Cloud Cover Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	138	—	254161	80	89	49	22d	—	—	+9	28.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improving filly; clearcut 7f winner latest; 6lb rise not beyond her if race goes her way
10 (12)	Okami Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	136	—	931511	78	87	66	28d	—	—	+18	31.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Progressive 3yo; won 3 of last 4; up 4lb for latest and drawn wide but can do better yet
11 (9)	Imperial Dream Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	134	—	134513	76	88	69	31d	—	—	+9	20.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has C&D form; good 3rd in 7f Racing League race latest; up 4lb since; may come on again
1 (7)	Gdaay Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	142	v	521326	82	89	55	31d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Some sterling efforts over C&D, winning three; back on latest winning AW mark
9 (5)	American Belle Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	138	t	211425	80	85	58	50d	—	—	+9	18.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progress stalled since C&D novice/turf handicap win; may yet do better back on Polytrack
7 (11)	Riot Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:David Omeara	J:Billy Loughnane T:David Omeara	139	v	144555	79	89	33	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	9.6	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D winner off today's mark in May; running well on turf this autumn
NR (10)	Matty Too Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	139	b	811300	79	-	-	35d	—	—	-36	33.8	—	—
Won first two starts for yard, over 7f on turf, but not the same horse the last twice
2 (8)	Jilly Cooper Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	142	—	324660	82	88	63	189d	—	—	+4	11.1	3.75/1	16 6%
AW wins elsewhere but has C&D form; tailed off on turf when last seen in April
12 (3)	Lions Dream Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	126	tp	858838	66	88	59	12d	—	—	+3	7.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Not gone on from good 7f run at Newcastle in February; looks risky now
3 (4)	Priscillas Wish Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Philip Mcbride	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Philip Mcbride	140	—	177449	80	87	49	17d	—	—	+3	9.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Winner and close 2nd from just two C&D starts; below best latest; not ruled out back here
4 (2)	Sir Oliver Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	140	p	307090	80	86	64	24d	—	—	+5	8.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Running well over C&D in the spring but treading water of late; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Welleef	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	4
Cloud Cover	9/2	3	7/2	4	4
Okami	5	5/1	9/2	5	5
Imperial Dream	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Gdaay	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
American Belle	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Riot	8	10	10	9	10
Matty Too	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Jilly Cooper	16	14	12	12	14
Lions Dream	20	18	16	18	18
Priscillas Wish	25	20	18	18	22
Sir Oliver	28	28	22	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Matty Too

33.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Okami

31.6

OR: 7 Form: 20.6 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Cloud Cover

28.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Welleef

21.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Imperial Dream

20.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Gdaay

19.5

OR: 8 Form: 9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

American Belle

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Jilly Cooper

11.1

OR: 8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

Riot

9.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Priscillas Wish

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Sir Oliver

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lions Dream

7.3

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gdaay	82	89	55
Jilly Cooper	82	88	63
Welleef	81	86	—
Cloud Cover	80	89	49
American Belle	80	85	58
Priscillas Wish	80	87	49
Sir Oliver	80	86	64
Riot	79	89	33
Matty Too	79	—	—
Okami	78	87	66
Imperial Dream	76	88	69
Lions Dream	66	88	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lions Dream	12d ago	Quick return
Priscillas Wish	17d ago	Fit
Welleef	21d ago	Fit
Riot	21d ago	Fit
Cloud Cover	22d ago	Fit
Sir Oliver	24d ago	Fit
Okami	28d ago	Fit
Imperial Dream	31d ago	Fit
Gdaay	31d ago	Fit
Matty Too	35d ago	Fit
American Belle	50d ago	Fresh
Jilly Cooper	189d ago	Long break