Armed Forces Remembrance Raceday Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Armed Forces Remembrance Raceday Handicap

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Lunar Space Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jamie Osborne	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jamie Osborne	141	b	007431	61	71	56	7d	—	—	-7	24.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Finally found his level after bleak start for this yard & bolted up latest; major player
4 (2)	Kodi Noir Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	133	h	733314	56	66	57	19d	—	—	-4	18.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Beat Daisy Roots over 7f here last month; creditable 4th since; one to consider
2 (7)	Daisy Roots Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Adam West	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Adam West	136	p	133321	59	65	42	9d	—	—	+10	22.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ffos Las win in July; scored again at Lingfield 9 days ago; unexposed in headgear
6 (9)	Elusive Tiger Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	128	b	-08454	51	67	54	9d	—	—	-6	2.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Fair fourth behind Daisy Roots at Lingfield nine days ago; new headgear tried today
5 (1)	El Royale Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	b	28524P	51	65	49	11d	—	—	-5	3.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Exposed maiden but conditions fine and in good form last month; each-way squeak
7 (6)	Star Of St Louis Bay J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Matt Crawley	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Matt Crawley	128	—	796355	48	68	46	128d	—	—	-4	3.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Looks vulnerable at this trip back from a break on his debut for a new stable
10 (11)	Poppaea Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	125	—	0-983	48	64	56	130d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Improved when 3rd on h'cap debut in June (7f, AW); likely to stay 1m and she's unexposed
9 (5)	Dillydingdillydong Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	126	—	-57346	46	59	52	62d	—	—	-2	2.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Exposed 17-race maiden; no improvement for a step up to 1m2f latest; opposable
8 (10)	College Wizard b/br J:Joey Haynes T:Christine Dunnett	J:Joey Haynes T:Christine Dunnett	126	p	883070	46	59	31	30d	—	—	0	1.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Low-grade seven-race maiden; dropping back to 1m not enough to tempt
11 (3)	Alicefromumbridge Chestnut J:William Cox T:Rebecca Woodman	J:William Cox T:Rebecca Woodman	123	p	577748	46	61	30	9d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
1m AW winner in January but not progressed since; others appeal more
3 (4)	Cap Dantibes Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Roberts	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Roberts	136	t	-53655	56	67	57	144d	—	—	—	2.4	—	—
Two C&D wins to his name; off since May; others preferred for win purposes

Horse	bet365	Coral
Lunar Space	7/4	13/8
Kodi Noir	3	11/4
Daisy Roots	5	13/2
Elusive Tiger	10	9
El Royale	10	9/1
Star Of St Louis	14	12/1
Poppaea	16	16/1
Dillydingdillydong	20	18
College Wizard	80	80/1
Alicefromumbridge	80	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lunar Space

24.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Daisy Roots

22.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Kodi Noir

18.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

El Royale

3.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

Star Of St Louis

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Dillydingdillydong

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

Elusive Tiger

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Cap Dantibes

2.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Poppaea

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

College Wizard

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Alicefromumbridge

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lunar Space	61	71	56
Daisy Roots	59	65	42
Kodi Noir	56	66	57
Cap Dantibes	56	67	57
Elusive Tiger	51	67	54
El Royale	51	65	49
Star Of St Louis	48	68	46
Poppaea	48	64	56
Dillydingdillydong	46	59	52
College Wizard	46	59	31
Alicefromumbridge	46	61	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lunar Space	7d ago	Quick return
Daisy Roots	9d ago	Quick return
Elusive Tiger	9d ago	Quick return
Alicefromumbridge	9d ago	Quick return
El Royale	11d ago	Quick return
Kodi Noir	19d ago	Fit
College Wizard	30d ago	Fit
Dillydingdillydong	62d ago	Fresh
Star Of St Louis	128d ago	Long break
Poppaea	130d ago	Long break
Cap Dantibes	144d ago	Long break