Ascot

15:05

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (British Champions Mile)

Date 2023-10-21
Distance 1m
Class Class 1
Going Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £655,709

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
9 (5)
Paddington
Bay
J:Ryan Moore
T:A P Obrien
J:Ryan Moore
T:A P Obrien
129 111113
125
136
125
59d +16
49.4
6/4
40%
His International defeat can be excused; a winning machine previously; top on ratings
11 (10)
Tahiyra
Bay
J:Chris Hayes
T:D K Weld
J:Chris Hayes
T:D K Weld
126 1-2111
118
131
117
42d +11
29.4
7/2
22%
Esteemed Irish filly; bidding for a Group 1 four-timer; one of the main players
8 (3)
Nashwa
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Hollie Doyle
T:John & Thady Gosden
129 421323
121
133
121
42d +19
34.2
9/2
18%
Three-time Group 1 winner against her own sex; 2-2 over 1m; holds solid claims
4 (6)
Big Rock
Bay
J:Aurelien Lemaitre
T:Christopher Head
J:Aurelien Lemaitre
T:Christopher Head
129 111222
118
130
117
48d +25
36.1
13/2
13%
Smart French colt who is threatening to win at the top level; has to be feared
5 (9)
Chaldean
Chestnut
J:Frankie Dettori
T:Andrew Balding
J:Frankie Dettori
T:Andrew Balding
129 1-U127
119
129
111
104d +19
26.4
11
9%
May bounce back but others have the edge; won a substandard 2,000 Guineas
3 (8)
Facteur Cheval
Bay
J:Mickael Barzalona
T:J Reynier
J:Mickael Barzalona
T:J Reynier
132 -32323
117
128
89
48d +24
28.1
22
5%
Consistent French gelding; ties in with Paddington and Big Rock; should go well
1 (1)
Angel Bleu
Bay
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
132 261741
113
124
94
56d +26
29.8
28
4%
Celebration Mile success took his record on ground softer than good to 6-8
2 (11)
Checkandchallenge
Bay
J:William Buick
T:William Knight
J:William Buick
T:William Knight
132 v -48745
112
123
91
21d +14
16.2
40
3%
Creditable fourth in this race last year; not so solid judged on 2023 form
7 (2)
Hi Royal
Bay
J:James Doyle
T:Kevin Ryan
J:James Doyle
T:Kevin Ryan
129 p -42399
114
124
101
69d +18
19.4
66
2%
Placed in the 2,000 Guineas and Irish Guineas; hasn't backed up that form
10 (7)
Rogue Millennium
Bay
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Tom Clover
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Tom Clover
129 321520
110
127
114
20d +21
23
80
1%
Won at Royal Ascot and second to Tahiyra in the Matron, both on good; needs a career best
6 (4)
Epictetus
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:John & Thady Gosden
129 p 550154
112
123
106
22d +20
20.8
125
1%
Has failed to build on his Group 3 win at Glorious Goodwood; stiff assignment
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Paddington
11/8 6/4 11/8 11/8 11/8
Tahiyra
7/2 4 7/2 7/2 7/2
Nashwa
5 9/2 5 5 5
Big Rock
7 13/2 6 13/2 7
Chaldean
11 11 10 11 9
Facteur Cheval
20 20 20 20 22
Angel Bleu
28 25 25 25 25
Checkandchallenge
40 40 40 40 40
Hi Royal
66 66 66 66 66
Rogue Millennium
80 66 66/1 80 50
Epictetus
125 100 100 100 100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Paddington
49.4
OR: 18.8 Form: 20 Odds: 10.7
6/4
2nd Big Rock
36.1
OR: 17 Form: 16 Odds: 3.1
13/2
3rd Nashwa
34.2
OR: 17.8 Form: 12 Odds: 4.4
9/2
4 Angel Bleu
29.8
OR: 15.8 Form: 13 Odds: 1.1
28
5 Tahiyra
29.4
OR: 17 Form: 7 Odds: 5.4
7/2
6 Facteur Cheval
28.1
OR: 16.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.2
22
7 Chaldean
26.4
OR: 17.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1
11
8 Rogue Millennium
23
OR: 15 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.5
80
9 Epictetus
20.8
OR: 15.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.3
125
10 Hi Royal
19.4
OR: 16 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4
66
11 Checkandchallenge
16.2
OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Paddington
125
136
125
Nashwa
121
133
121
Chaldean
119
129
111
Tahiyra
118
131
117
Big Rock
118
130
117
Facteur Cheval
117
128
89
Hi Royal
114
124
101
Angel Bleu
113
124
94
Checkandchallenge
112
123
91
Epictetus
112
123
106
Rogue Millennium
110
127
114

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Rogue Millennium 20d ago Fit
Checkandchallenge 21d ago Fit
Epictetus 22d ago Fit
Tahiyra 42d ago Fit
Nashwa 42d ago Fit
Big Rock 48d ago Fresh
Facteur Cheval 48d ago Fresh
Angel Bleu 56d ago Fresh
Paddington 59d ago Fresh
Hi Royal 69d ago Fresh
Chaldean 104d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Big Rock Front Runner
Chaldean Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.