Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

15:25

Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap

Date 2023-10-23

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,768

Winning Time 2m 16.14s (slow by 10.84s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lhebayeb (GER) Callum Shepherd · Victor Dartnall	4/1	Won
2nd	Dotties Star (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	7/1	.75
3rd	Assembled (GB) Rob Hornby · Mark Rimell	100/30F	4
4th	Fullforward (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Michael Madgwick	15/2	1.75
5th	Jimmy Mark (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Stuart Kittow	8/1	4.5
6th	Change Of Fortune (GB) David Probert · Bernard Llewellyn	8/1	4
7th	Bush Rose (GB) Alex Jary · Phil McEntee	9/2	0.2
8th	Superluminal (GB) Darragh Keenan · John Berry	20/1	5
9th	House Of Dragons (GB) Tom Queally · Seamus Durack	66/1	21

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	Bush Rose Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Phil Mcentee	132	—	737501	58	68	57	7d	—	—	-1	18.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Soft ground made the difference last Monday; leading claims under a 6lb penalty
8 (6)	Assembled Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	131	t	904241	53	68	50	7d	—	—	+1	18.3	0.75/1	4 25%
Made it 2-2 here when winning over 1m3f last Monday; has to enter calculations
2 (4)	Lhebayeb Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Victor Dartnall	J:Callum Shepherd T:Victor Dartnall	137	t	331134	59	69	58	12d	—	—	+4	16.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Below market expectations on heavy going last time; is weighted to her best now
9 (2)	Jimmy Mark Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	123	—	145514	49	67	54	18d	—	—	-1	10.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Another solid effort in defeat on Polytrack latest; obvious chance if he handles the going
3 (3)	Dotties Star Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	136	—	586445	58	71	44	39d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Regressive maiden who can pull hard and hasn't always looked the easiest; risks involved
1 (5)	Change Of Fortune Chestnut J:David Probert T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:David Probert T:Bernard Llewellyn	138	p	034248	60	68	64	14d	—	—	-1	8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Regressive maiden; drops to 0-60 company for the first time but others make more appeal
5 (9)	Fullforward Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Madgwick	J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Madgwick	132	v	442109	58	68	42	7d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Entitled to at least close the gap on Assembled on 4lb better terms if more amenable
4 (8)	Superluminal Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Berry	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Berry	133	—	97208	59	67	40	98d	—	—	-1	6.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Sole turf effort a cut above his four AW runs; is worth tracking in the market
6 (7)	House Of Dragons Bay J:Tom Queally T:Seamus Durack	J:Tom Queally T:Seamus Durack	132	p	34-060	58	62	36	133d	—	—	0	2.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Limited maiden (6f-1m2f) who struggled in early summer; hard to fancy back from a break

Horse	bet365	Coral
Bush Rose	10/3	3
Assembled	4	4
Lhebayeb	5	5
Jimmy Mark	13/2	13/2
Dotties Star	17/2	17/2
Change Of Fortune	9	17/2
Fullforward	9	9
Superluminal	11	11
House Of Dragons	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bush Rose

18.3

OR: 2 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Assembled

18.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5

3rd

Lhebayeb

16.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.7 Odds: 3.6

Fullforward

10.9

OR: 2 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

Jimmy Mark

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Change Of Fortune

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Superluminal

6.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.1

Dotties Star

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

House Of Dragons

2.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Change Of Fortune	60	68	64
Lhebayeb	59	69	58
Superluminal	59	67	40
Bush Rose	58	68	57
Dotties Star	58	71	44
Fullforward	58	68	42
House Of Dragons	58	62	36
Assembled	53	68	50
Jimmy Mark	49	67	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bush Rose	7d ago	Quick return
Assembled	7d ago	Quick return
Fullforward	7d ago	Quick return
Lhebayeb	12d ago	Quick return
Change Of Fortune	14d ago	Fit
Jimmy Mark	18d ago	Fit
Dotties Star	39d ago	Fit
Superluminal	98d ago	Long break
House Of Dragons	133d ago	Long break