Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Galway

14:32

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 2m90y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Release The Beast Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	165	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-28	13.3	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Newcomer probably best watched unless market suggests otherwise
8	Ollie La Ba Ba Chestnut J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	162	t	P-P562	-	123	110	13d	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Recent Clonmel second over 2m5f makes him the one to beat if coping with drop in trip
7	Mac's Xpress Chestnut J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	162	—	50F533	97	113	72	35d	—	—	+5	20.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Solid form in handicaps and could well feature in what appears a weak maiden
5	The Lucky Lobster Bay J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:Declan Queally	J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:Declan Queally	163	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Half-brother to a pair of hurdle winners; market likely best guide on debut
9	Safran Et Bleu b/br J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Interesting debutant from respected source, market support likely significant
2	Makaela's Choice Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Thomas Mullins	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Thomas Mullins	164	h	7570-5	-	85	56	26d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Plenty to find on previous two attempts and needs to improve jumping
6	Upthereforthinking Bay J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	163	—	469	-	103	67	33d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Excuses at Roscommon latest, some promise prior to that so don't rule out
4	Jouster Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Ricky Doyle T:Gavin Cromwell	163	—	447-0	-	32	-	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Tailed off on hurdles debut over C&D last month in maiden won by a stablemate
3	Captain Dillon Grey J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	163	—	0-	-	-	-	270d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Jumped poorly, tailed off on Limerick debut back in January; best watched on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Release The Beast	11/10	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Ollie La Ba Ba	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Mac's Xpress	6/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
The Lucky Lobster	14/1	10	11/1	11/1	10
Safran Et Bleu	14	14	14	14	14
Makaela's Choice	28/1	28	28	28	25
Upthereforthinking	28	25	25	25	22
Jouster	50	40/1	40	40	33
Captain Dillon	100	80/1	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mac's Xpress

20.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.7 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

Release The Beast

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

6/5

3rd

Ollie La Ba Ba

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

The Lucky Lobster

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Safran Et Bleu

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Makaela's Choice

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Upthereforthinking

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Jouster

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Captain Dillon

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mac's Xpress	97	113	72
Release The Beast	—	—	—
Ollie La Ba Ba	—	123	110
The Lucky Lobster	—	—	—
Safran Et Bleu	—	—	—
Makaela's Choice	—	85	56
Upthereforthinking	—	103	67
Jouster	—	32	—
Captain Dillon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ollie La Ba Ba	13d ago	Quick return
Makaela's Choice	26d ago	Fit
Jouster	29d ago	Fit
Upthereforthinking	33d ago	Fit
Mac's Xpress	35d ago	Fit
Captain Dillon	270d ago	Long break
Release The Beast	—	—
The Lucky Lobster	—	—
Safran Et Bleu	—	—