Scott Dobson Memorial Handicap (Div I) – Doncaster

Doncaster

16:58

Scott Dobson Memorial Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,653

Winning Time 1m 32.23s (slow by 9.13s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Look Back Smiling (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Gemma Tutty	5/1	Won
2nd	Astral Spirit (GB) Hayley Turner · Pam Sly	16/5F	1.75
3rd	Mister Sox (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	9/2	1
4th	Shandy Star (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	33/1	3.75
5th	Beauty Choice (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	16/1	2
6th	Archduke Ferdinand (IRE) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	15/2	5.5
7th	Sir Maxi (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	12/1	1.5
8th	Broken Spear (GB) Tom Eaves · Tony Coyle	6/1	7.5
9th	Ray Vonn (IRE) Mr Bradley Furniss · B F Brookhouse	18/1	17
10th	Deputy (IRE) Graham Lee · Michael Dods	9/1	33

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (1)	Astral Spirit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Pam Sly	J:Hayley Turner T:Pam Sly	130	—	522832	70	87	69	12d	—	—	+1	20.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Placed in five of her seven outings; bred to take well to this scenario; may be the answer
2 (3)	Look Back Smiling Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Gemma Tutty	140	—	148645	80	84	75	15d	—	—	0	10.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has blown the start a couple of times recently; therefore comes with risk
5 (5)	Deputy b/br J:Graham Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Graham Lee T:Michael Dods	136	h	9-5270	74	86	60	35d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has form figures of 212 over C&D, the win gained in this race last year; respected
1 (9)	Broken Spear Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	142	p	418635	80	86	80	7d	—	—	+4	14.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Has some good form at Doncaster, including close third in this contest 12 months ago
11 (10)	Mister Sox Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	123	b	523714	63	82	74	28d	—	—	+5	15	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In-form 3yo; upped further in grade but receives weight all round; could go well again
8 (6)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	362041	71	84	65	19d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+10	19.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Similar chance to Beauty Choice, having won at Pontefract 19 days ago; in the mix
7 (8)	Beauty Choice Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	v	356231	72	86	78	19d	—	—	+15	22	2.50/1	11 9%
Regained the winning thread at Pontefract 19 days ago; still on a workable mark
3 (4)	Archduke Ferdinand Grey J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	139	—	130184	77	85	68	22d	—	—	+5	15.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner on good going in August; now 5lb higher and faces very different ground
9 (7)	Ray Vonn Bay J:Bradley Furniss(7) T:B F Brookhouse	J:Bradley Furniss(7) T:B F Brookhouse	130	ht	074148	70	86	71	10d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Sole attempt on heavy ground resulted in his 6f win at Nottingham three starts ago
NR (2)	Red Maids Bay J:TBC T:Mark Rimell	J: T:Mark Rimell	138	—	841140	78	84	77	21d	—	—	+10	16.9	2.50/1	11 9%
May still have more to offer but heavy ground is an unknown
6 (11)	Shandy Star Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	eb	17-777	75	71	40	16d	—	—	+4	7	9.75/1	40 3%
Plenty to find on 2023 form and has something to prove over this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Astral Spirit	3	10/3	10/3	3	3
Look Back Smiling	13/2	6	6	6	6
Deputy	6	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Broken Spear	8	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Mister Sox	15/2	7	13/2	7	13/2
Sir Maxi	8	8	8	8	15/2
Beauty Choice	11	10	11	10	10
Archduke Ferdinand	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Ray Vonn	14	14	14	14	14
Red Maids	11	11	11	11	10
Shandy Star	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beauty Choice

OR: 5.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Astral Spirit

20.3

OR: 5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Sir Maxi

19.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Red Maids

16.9

OR: 7 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

Archduke Ferdinand

15.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Mister Sox

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Broken Spear

14.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.9

Ray Vonn

11.6

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Look Back Smiling

10.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Deputy

9.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Shandy Star

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Look Back Smiling	80	84	75
Broken Spear	80	86	80
Red Maids	78	84	77
Archduke Ferdinand	77	85	68
Shandy Star	75	71	40
Deputy	74	86	60
Beauty Choice	72	86	78
Sir Maxi	71	84	65
Astral Spirit	70	87	69
Ray Vonn	70	86	71
Mister Sox	63	82	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Broken Spear	7d ago	Quick return
Ray Vonn	10d ago	Quick return
Astral Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Look Back Smiling	15d ago	Fit
Shandy Star	16d ago	Fit
Sir Maxi	19d ago	Fit
Beauty Choice	19d ago	Fit
Red Maids	21d ago	Fit
Archduke Ferdinand	22d ago	Fit
Mister Sox	28d ago	Fit
Deputy	35d ago	Fit