BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A-D) (No More Than 3 Runs) (GBB)

Newcastle (AW)

16:50

Date 2023-10-30

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,510

Winning Time 1m 27.94s (slow by 4.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Venture Capital (GB) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	28/1	Won
2nd	Completed (GB) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	EvensF	0.1
3rd	Swift Storm (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	5/1	2
4th	Beale Street (GB) Graham Lee · Bryan Smart	18/1	2
5th	Boyd Crowder (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	40/1	4
6th	Yippee (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	16/1	0.1
7th	Al Saif (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	3/1	0.3
8th	Viridian (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	11/1	2.75
9th	Polyphema (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	150/1	0.1
10th	Old Bailey (IRE) Tom Eaves · Nigel Tinkler	250/1	.5
11th	Lumenbourg (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	100/1	0.1
12th	Emmemmcee (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	300/1	11

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (2)	Completed Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	2	-	89	66	20d	—	—	-29	23	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Showed plenty of promise with her debut second at Southwell and sets standard on that form
5 (3)	Al Saif Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	129	—	53	-	82	57	12d	—	—	-14	10.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Two promising efforts at 6f and this step up in trip should suit; respected
3 (7)	Viridian Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	4	-	64	-	25d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Remote fourth at Salisbury (9-1) and he needs major improvement on his second start
2 (8)	Swift Storm Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Well-bred colt who cost 100,000gns as yearling; interesting newcomer
1 (4)	Beale Street Bay J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	133	—	64	-	73	-	10d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Some promise in two runs at Redcar this month but he has quite a bit to find here
6 (11)	Boyd Crowder Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	6.75/1	28 4%
40,000euros yearling; yard 15% with 2yos this year and needs watching in market on debut
9 (10)	Yippee Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Well-bred colt who is a brother to a 7f AW 2yo winner; needs a close look on debut
12 (9)	Venture Capital Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	—	03	-	76	19	34d	—	—	+1	3.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Showed promise over C&D last month but he needs another major step forward here
7 (6)	Lumenbourg Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Has fair standard to aim at on debut and is best watched unless market suggests otherwise
11 (5)	Polyphema Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Closely related to a 7f AW winner but this looks a tough enough starting point
4 (1)	EmmemmcEe Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	131	—	—	-	-	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
100-1 at Redcar (7f, good) on recent debut and he finished a tailed-off last
8 (12)	Old Bailey Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Tom Eaves T:Nigel Tinkler	129	—	—	-	44	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Half-brother to seven winners but he failed to beat a rival at Redcar on recent debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Completed	8/13	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13
Al Saif	3	11/4	3	3/1	11/4
Viridian	9	9/1	10	9/1	9
Swift Storm	8	8	9	8	9
Beale Street	20	18	20	20/1	20
Boyd Crowder	28	28	28	28	28
Yippee	25	33	33	33	33
Venture Capital	33	40	40	40	40
Lumenbourg	100	100	100	100	100
Polyphema	100	125	125	125	100
EmmemmcEe	500	250	250	250	200
Old Bailey	150	200	250	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Completed

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 18

4/6

2nd

Al Saif

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Venture Capital

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Swift Storm

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Viridian

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Beale Street

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Yippee

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Boyd Crowder

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Lumenbourg

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Polyphema

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

EmmemmcEe

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Old Bailey

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Completed	—	89	66
Al Saif	—	82	57
Viridian	—	64	—
Swift Storm	—	—	—
Beale Street	—	73	—
Boyd Crowder	—	—	—
Yippee	—	—	—
Venture Capital	—	76	19
Lumenbourg	—	—	—
Polyphema	—	—	—
EmmemmcEe	—	—	—
Old Bailey	—	44	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beale Street	10d ago	Quick return
Al Saif	12d ago	Quick return
Completed	20d ago	Fit
EmmemmcEe	23d ago	Fit
Old Bailey	23d ago	Fit
Viridian	25d ago	Fit
Venture Capital	34d ago	Fit
Swift Storm	—	—
Boyd Crowder	—	—
Yippee	—	—
Lumenbourg	—	—
Polyphema	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.