BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap

Date 2023-10-30

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 12.38s (slow by 1.98s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	100/30	Won
2nd	Kraken Florida (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · John Wainwright	18/1	.75
3rd	Mumcat (GB) Joanna Mason · Jacqueline Coward	5/2F	0.1
4th	Fighting Chance (GB) Molly Gunn · Simon West	28/1	1.75
5th	Malham Tarn Cove (GB) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	9/1	0.05
6th	The Gay Blade (GB) Jason Hart · Iain Jardine	4/1	1.25
7th	Basholo (IRE) Alex Jary · Stella Barclay	17/2	.5
8th	Fai Fai (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	14/1	0.3
9th	Quercus (IRE) Joe Fanning · Ann Duffield	9/1	1.25
10th	Muatadel (GB) Ryan Sexton · John Wainwright	66/1	1.5
11th	Genevieve (GB) Liam Wright · Jim Goldie	66/1	4.5
12th	Ank Marvin (GB) Shane Gray · Colin Teague	200/1	10

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Mumcat Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	136	—	565231	56	69	57	17d	—	—	-4	25	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Twice went close here before winning over C&D last time and has to be respected
5 (10)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	—	342124	50	63	57	21d	—	—	-6	16.7	0.50/1	3 33%
In good form over 7f (including here) and this 3yo has shaped as though 6f is worth a go
2 (1)	The Gay Blade Bay J:Jason Hart T:Iain Jardine	J:Jason Hart T:Iain Jardine	133	—	523233	53	67	54	10d	—	—	-1	14.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent of late and good third over C&D ten days ago; has solid claims
3 (9)	Quercus Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	133	p	192110	53	65	34	70d	—	—	+8	16.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Three wins at Catterick this summer but hasn't shone on his four AW starts (all here)
4 (3)	Basholo Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Stella Barclay	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Stella Barclay	133	—	816533	53	70	59	7d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Close third on Tapeta elsewhere the last twice; also effective here; can be thereabouts
7 (2)	Fai Fai Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	—	809804	47	67	55	13d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	2.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair fourth over C&D a fortnight ago and not ruled out now another 2lb lower
6 (5)	Malham Tarn Cove Roan J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	128	tp	333274	48	67	-	44d	—	—	-2	6.1	3.25/1	14 7%
11-race maiden but he's run some good races on turf this year; might not be far away
8 (8)	Kraken Florida Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	127	p	513860	47	67	36	83d	—	—	-2	4.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Doubt regarding current form but well treated judged on C&D efforts earlier in the year
9 (6)	Fighting Chance Chestnut J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	126	p	907873	46	66	51	13d	—	—	0	4.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Third at 66-1 over C&D recently; remains to be seen if he'll back up that performance
11 (4)	Genevieve Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Jim Goldie	126	v	665766	46	58	26	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
15-race maiden who needs something extra if she's to get off the mark
10 (7)	Muatadel Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	126	b	270700	46	64	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two-time C&D winner but this 10yo is 0-28 since scoring here in October 2021
12 (12)	Ank Marvin Bay J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	126	—	8/6-8	46	31	-	61d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Triple-figure odds and showed very little across his three starts for Brett Johnson

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mumcat	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Bernie The Bear	3	3	3	3	3
The Gay Blade	11/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Quercus	8	8	8	8	8
Basholo	10	9	9/1	9	9
Fai Fai	17/2	14	14	10	14/1
Malham Tarn Cove	12	14	14	14	14
Kraken Florida	18	18	18	10	18
Fighting Chance	20	28	33	33	33
Genevieve	40	33	33	33	40
Muatadel	50	40	50/1	50/1	50
Ank Marvin	100	80	50	100/1	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mumcat

OR: 1.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Quercus

16.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.5

3rd

Bernie The Bear

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

The Gay Blade

14.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Basholo

10.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

Malham Tarn Cove

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

Kraken Florida

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.9

Fighting Chance

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Fai Fai

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Genevieve

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Muatadel

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ank Marvin

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mumcat	56	69	57
The Gay Blade	53	67	54
Quercus	53	65	34
Basholo	53	70	59
Bernie The Bear	50	63	57
Malham Tarn Cove	48	67	—
Fai Fai	47	67	55
Kraken Florida	47	67	36
Fighting Chance	46	66	51
Genevieve	46	58	26
Muatadel	46	64	—
Ank Marvin	46	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Basholo	7d ago	Quick return
The Gay Blade	10d ago	Quick return
Fai Fai	13d ago	Quick return
Fighting Chance	13d ago	Quick return
Genevieve	13d ago	Quick return
Muatadel	14d ago	Fit
Mumcat	17d ago	Fit
Bernie The Bear	21d ago	Fit
Malham Tarn Cove	44d ago	Fit
Ank Marvin	61d ago	Fresh
Quercus	70d ago	Fresh
Kraken Florida	83d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.