BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:38

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-11-01

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 9.90s (slow by 0.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cover Up (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	9/2	Won
2nd	Al Ameen (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	9/2	1.25
3rd	Kit Gabriel (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	13/2	5
4th	Grenham Bay (IRE) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	16/1	0.3
5th	Change Sings (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	7/4F	1.5
6th	Count Otto (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Amanda Perrett	28/1	0.3
7th	Razzam (IRE) Christian Howarth · Michael Appleby	11/1	.5
8th	New Hope Bullet (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	100/1	1.25
9th	Pop Dancer (IRE) William Carson · Tony Carroll	66/1	1.75
10th	Dirtyoldtown (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Dylan Cunha	15/2	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Change Sings Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	—	741311	83	94	81	25d	—	—	+9	39.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Has won his last three starts on the AW from the front; hard to dismiss in current mood
9 (1)	Al Ameen Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	127	t	8522-1	74	97	71	21d	—	—	+5	20.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Defied a year absence when winning on stable debut at Kempton; 2lb higher and thereabouts
7 (10)	Cover Up Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	129	—	60125	76	95	-	43d	—	—	+6	18.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form before possibly found out by slow ground last time; respected on AW debut
5 (4)	Dirtyoldtown Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Dylan Cunha	J:Darragh Keenan T:Dylan Cunha	130	b	0-0908	77	95	64	28d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Shown little in a light campaign this year, including on stable debut last month
3 (6)	Kit Gabriel Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	132	p	04-441	79	96	74	39d	—	—	0	10.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Won at Wolverhampton last time; more needed to follow up off 3lb higher on Polytrack debut
10 (8)	Grenham Bay Grey J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	125	—	583675	72	95	65	21d	—	—	+2	8.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Won twice in the spring; not far behind Al Ameen at Kempton last time when hampered
4 (2)	Razzam Brown J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	131	—	431237	78	95	76	43d	—	—	+11	16.8	3.25/1	14 7%
Still 6lb higher than when winning at Yarmouth in August; more needed
1 (7)	Count Otto Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Amanda Perrett	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Amanda Perrett	136	h	481129	83	93	-	57d	—	—	+15	21.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Six wins over C&D and just 1lb higher than for the most recent; respected
8 (9)	Pop Dancer Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	129	p	374614	76	93	86	30d	—	—	+12	14.2	9.75/1	40 3%
All eight wins have come over 5f so not hard to have reservations over this trip
6 (3)	New Hope Bullet Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	—	1254-9	76	87	-	158d	—	—	+5	7.1	19.75/1	80 1%
Won three times last year, but tailed off on her return and off another five months since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Change Sings	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Al Ameen	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cover Up	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dirtyoldtown	8	7	7	7	7
Kit Gabriel	7	7	7	7	7
Grenham Bay	12	12	12	12	12
Razzam	12	14	14	14	14
Count Otto	16	14	11	16	16
Pop Dancer	33	40	40	40	40
New Hope Bullet	80	66	66	66	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Change Sings

39.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 21.5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Count Otto

21.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Al Ameen

20.4

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Cover Up

18.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Razzam

16.8

OR: 7 Form: 8.2 Odds: 1.6

Pop Dancer

14.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Kit Gabriel

10.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Dirtyoldtown

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Grenham Bay

8.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

New Hope Bullet

7.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Change Sings	83	94	81
Count Otto	83	93	—
Kit Gabriel	79	96	74
Razzam	78	95	76
Dirtyoldtown	77	95	64
Cover Up	76	95	—
Pop Dancer	76	93	86
New Hope Bullet	76	87	—
Al Ameen	74	97	71
Grenham Bay	72	95	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Ameen	21d ago	Fit
Grenham Bay	21d ago	Fit
Change Sings	25d ago	Fit
Dirtyoldtown	28d ago	Fit
Pop Dancer	30d ago	Fit
Kit Gabriel	39d ago	Fit
Cover Up	43d ago	Fit
Razzam	43d ago	Fit
Count Otto	57d ago	Fresh
New Hope Bullet	158d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.