bet365 Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) – Wetherby

Wetherby

12:40

bet365 Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 2m5f56y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Sea Village Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Oliver Signy	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Oliver Signy	168	—	/7033-	110	113	67	228d	—	—	+13	22.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Progressive novice and this step up in trip is likely to suit now into his first handicap
5	Stratton Oakmont Bay J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	160	—	41P12-	102	106	90	—	—	—	+21	29.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Placed over hurdles for this yard before winning a couple of points for Joshua Newman
8	Carrigeen Castle Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	158	—	7/P14-	100	-	-	—	—	—	+6	15.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Irish point winner earlier this year; never really threatened in his hurdles over there
11	Prince Nino Chestnut J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	153	tv	-31816	95	109	80	37d	—	—	+16	24.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Two Perth wins this year; excuses last time but probably needs his best yet
9	Bridget Breeze Grey J:Sean Quinlan T:Gillian Boanas	J:Sean Quinlan T:Gillian Boanas	157	—	12732-	99	106	87	217d	—	—	-26	42.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Bumper winner with fair hurdling form; looks the type to pay her way in handicaps
14	Mister Barclay Bay J:David Noonan T:Tom Symonds	J:David Noonan T:Tom Symonds	149	—	8P663-	91	110	94	211d	—	—	+8	14.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Kept finding to finish a closing third on his handicap debut at Hereford in April (2m)
6	My Brother Jack Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ollie Pears	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ollie Pears	159	b	23-553	102	109	90	34d	—	—	+9	14.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Lacked the gears to land a blow over 2m2f at Market Rasen but ran well and goes further
13	Annaharvey Lad Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	150	—	3/478-	92	111	104	211d	—	—	+8	14.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Lightly raced and, with a pointing background, this longer trip should be a help
3	Firth Of Forth Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Rose Dobbin	J:Craig Nichol T:Rose Dobbin	164	—	P/P6-2	106	105	95	177d	—	—	+14	19.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Effectively 8lb higher than when runner-up at Kelso on last appearance in May
12	Reagrove Lord Brown J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	150	t	2-3456	92	102	67	26d	—	—	+9	15.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Others have shown greater promise under rules and tongue-tie is tried for handicap debut
10	Geordies Dream Grey J:Henry Brooke T:Pauline Robson	J:Henry Brooke T:Pauline Robson	154	—	/2305/	96	107	-	573d	—	—	+11	15.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Brings potential into handicaps but he's been a good-while absent
16	Smart Connection Bay J:James Best T:Michael Chapman	J:James Best T:Michael Chapman	142	—	-64561	84	109	68	67d	—	—	+16	19.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Shock winner at Cartmel but wouldn't be an obvious one to follow up
7	Liberty Flame Brown J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	158	—	5-763P	100	101	89	15d	—	—	+10	13.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Heavy ground when quiet on stable debut; Irish form commands respect
4	Copshill Lad Grey J:Harry Cobden T:Milton Harris	J:Harry Cobden T:Milton Harris	164	t	453-F3	106	115	93	22d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stratford bumper winner; seems to be getting there slowly over hurdles
2	Presenting Nelly Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	166	t	6/3411	108	108	94	42d	—	—	+2	19.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has more on her plate against males here but further improvement is possible
15	Night Jet Bay J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	146	—	/68P4-	88	108	80	224d	—	—	+7	10.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Still lightly raced but only a remote fourth in his second handicap when last seen

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sea Village	8	8	7	7	7
Stratton Oakmont	9	10	9	9	9
Carrigeen Castle	8	8	7	7	7
Prince Nino	11	10	9	9	9
Bridget Breeze	10	10	9	9	9
Mister Barclay	12	12	11	11	11
My Brother Jack	14	14	12	12	12
Annaharvey Lad	16	14	12	12	12
Firth Of Forth	16	14	12	12	12
Reagrove Lord	18	16	14	16	16
Geordies Dream	25	22	20	20	20
Smart Connection	33	28	28	28	28
Liberty Flame	33	33	28	33	33
Copshill Lad	13/2	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Presenting Nelly	7/2	4	10/3	7/2	7/2
Night Jet	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bridget Breeze

42.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 20

2nd

Stratton Oakmont

29.5

OR: 13 Form: 14.3 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Prince Nino

24.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.4

Sea Village

22.8

OR: 15 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7

Firth Of Forth

19.9

OR: 14 Form: 4.3 Odds: 1.7

Presenting Nelly

19.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Smart Connection

19.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Copshill Lad

17.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Reagrove Lord

15.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Geordies Dream

15.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Carrigeen Castle

15.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

My Brother Jack

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mister Barclay

14.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.6 Odds: 1.7

Annaharvey Lad

14.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Liberty Flame

13.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Night Jet

10.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sea Village	110	113	67
Presenting Nelly	108	108	94
Firth Of Forth	106	105	95
Copshill Lad	106	115	93
Stratton Oakmont	102	106	90
My Brother Jack	102	109	90
Carrigeen Castle	100	—	—
Liberty Flame	100	101	89
Bridget Breeze	99	106	87
Geordies Dream	96	107	—
Prince Nino	95	109	80
Annaharvey Lad	92	111	104
Reagrove Lord	92	102	67
Mister Barclay	91	110	94
Night Jet	88	108	80
Smart Connection	84	109	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Liberty Flame	15d ago	Fit
Copshill Lad	22d ago	Fit
Reagrove Lord	26d ago	Fit
My Brother Jack	34d ago	Fit
Prince Nino	37d ago	Fit
Presenting Nelly	42d ago	Fit
Smart Connection	67d ago	Fresh
Firth Of Forth	177d ago	Long break
Mister Barclay	211d ago	Long break
Annaharvey Lad	211d ago	Long break
Bridget Breeze	217d ago	Long break
Night Jet	224d ago	Long break
Sea Village	228d ago	Long break
Geordies Dream	573d ago	Long break
Stratton Oakmont	—	—
Carrigeen Castle	—	—