Betfred "Pickyourpunt" Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

15:45

Betfred "Pickyourpunt" Handicap

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Kalamunda Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	140	—	874311	72	78	47	16d	—	—	+11	29.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Bids for hat-trick after two emphatic AW wins last month; should be okay back on slow turf
16 (3)	Albus Anne Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	124	—	353412	54	77	67	16d	—	—	+2	18.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Consistent filly; suited by slow ground and in good form but others look better treated
5 (9)	Forward Flight Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	140	—	235931	70	79	68	18d	—	—	+9	21.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Kept on well to lead close home on soft ground last month; 2lb rise ought to be manageable
17 (12)	Mayz Bay J:Joe Fanning T:John Gallagher	J:Joe Fanning T:John Gallagher	119	—	488501	51	77	50	11d	—	—	+3	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won comfortably when upped to 1m and switched to heavy ground last month; 6lb penalty
1 (17)	Marsh Benham Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	143	p	484561	73	76	69	11d	—	—	+8	18.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Looked as good as ever when winning on heavy ground last week; respected under penalty
NR (14)	Cosmos Raj Bay J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	142	p	154425	72	78	71	25d	—	—	-4	14.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Comes here in decent nick but would appeal more on better ground
8 (15)	Monkmoor Pip Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	138	—	13	70	72	-	29d	—	—	+8	17.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Made bright start to career on AW this autumn; switched to slow turf for handicap debut
7 (13)	Mount King Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	139	tp	345151	71	73	63	25d	—	—	+15	22.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Just held on at Pontefract last month and has now won two of his last three
3 (18)	Poet's Dawn Chestnut J:Alex Fielding(7) T:Tim Easterby	J:Alex Fielding(7) T:Tim Easterby	141	—	345104	71	76	69	20d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
No longer the force of old but ran well when fourth on soft ground at York last month
13 (11)	Macho Sun Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	130	—	347526	62	75	67	17d	—	—	+3	7.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Flopped in cheekpieces last time but has claims if judged on heavy-ground second in August
11 (1)	Big Bear Hug Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	133	p	-24163	63	78	47	16d	—	—	+9	13.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Well held when third of six at Bath this month and today's race is much stronger
9 (16)	Glencalvie Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	135	t	2-0644	67	71	51	43d	—	—	+5	8.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Made encouraging handicap debut when fourth on soft ground in September; 2lb lower now
6 (10)	Lunanera Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	139	—	763100	71	77	62	25d	—	—	+9	11.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Clearcut winner in August, his second British run, but two poor efforts have followed
NR (6)	Royal Design Bay J:TBC T:Phil McEntee	J: T:Phil McEntee	119	—	880948	51	69	49	100d	—	—	-8	3.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Yet to be placed after eight starts and 5lb out of the weights here
14 (7)	Superluminal Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Berry	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Berry	127	b	972088	59	75	48	11d	—	—	+2	4.2	19.75/1	80 1%
Well beaten in all three handicaps; drops back in trip with blinkers added today
12 (8)	Mhajim Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	132	h	-00009	62	76	-	22d	—	—	+2	3.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Well down the field on all five stable starts but still needs attention in the betting
15 (4)	Tiger Touch Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	125	—	9/068-	55	-	-	497d	—	—	0	1.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Not seen since a poor run for David O'Meara in June 2022; probably best watched
NR (5)	Where's Freddy Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	135	t	888120	67	-	-	23d	—	—	—	12.8	—	—
Kept on well to go close on soft ground two starts ago; struggled on heavy last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kalamunda	7/2	10/3	9/2	10/3	10/3
Albus Anne	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Forward Flight	6	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Mayz	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Marsh Benham	15/2	15/2	7	7	17/2
Cosmos Raj	9	9	9	9	9
Monkmoor Pip	8	17/2	17/2	8	9
Mount King	11	10	10	10	11
Poet's Dawn	10	10/1	9	9	11
Macho Sun	22	18	18	20	20
Big Bear Hug	16	18	18	18	20
Glencalvie	33	28	22	18	33
Lunanera	40	33	33	33	40
Royal Design	66	66	66	66	66
Superluminal	80	50	50	50	50
Mhajim	50	50/1	50	50	66
Tiger Touch	80	50	50	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalamunda

29.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Mount King

22.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 15 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Forward Flight

21.3

OR: 5 Form: 12.7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Albus Anne

18.9

OR: 1 Form: 12.9 Odds: 5

9/2

Marsh Benham

18.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Monkmoor Pip

17.7

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Cosmos Raj

14.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.4

Big Bear Hug

13.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1.2

Mayz

13.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Where's Freddy

12.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Poet's Dawn

12.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Lunanera

11.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.7

Glencalvie

8.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

Macho Sun

7.7

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Superluminal

4.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

Mhajim

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Royal Design

3.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Tiger Touch

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marsh Benham	73	76	69
Kalamunda	72	78	47
Cosmos Raj	72	78	71
Mount King	71	73	63
Poet's Dawn	71	76	69
Lunanera	71	77	62
Forward Flight	70	79	68
Monkmoor Pip	70	72	—
Glencalvie	67	71	51
Where's Freddy	67	—	—
Big Bear Hug	63	78	47
Macho Sun	62	75	67
Mhajim	62	76	—
Superluminal	59	75	48
Tiger Touch	55	—	—
Albus Anne	54	77	67
Mayz	51	77	50
Royal Design	51	69	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mayz	11d ago	Quick return
Marsh Benham	11d ago	Quick return
Superluminal	11d ago	Quick return
Kalamunda	16d ago	Fit
Albus Anne	16d ago	Fit
Big Bear Hug	16d ago	Fit
Macho Sun	17d ago	Fit
Forward Flight	18d ago	Fit
Poet's Dawn	20d ago	Fit
Mhajim	22d ago	Fit
Where's Freddy	23d ago	Fit
Cosmos Raj	25d ago	Fit
Mount King	25d ago	Fit
Lunanera	25d ago	Fit
Monkmoor Pip	29d ago	Fit
Glencalvie	43d ago	Fit
Royal Design	100d ago	Long break
Tiger Touch	497d ago	Long break