bet365 Handicap Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)

Wetherby

16:08

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 3m45y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Snowy Evening Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	161	—	53PP-2	108	121	-	22d	—	—	+6	25.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second on chase debut despite making mistakes and has obvious scope for improvement
4	Ernest Gray Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	167	—	541P3-	114	-	-	202d	—	—	+10	28.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improvement needed on chase debut but his smart dam was a better chaser than hurdler
7	Not Sure Brown J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	163	p	41313-	110	120	98	212d	—	—	+21	32.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Progressive in blinkers last term; could have more to offer but goes in cheekpieces today
9	Camp Belan Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	159	v	7F35-4	106	118	104	27d	—	—	+6	17.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Inconsistent & well beaten on return but may have needed it; not ruled out off handy mark
5	Some Scope Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	165	t	5441-P	112	-	-	176d	—	—	+8	18.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Very lightly raced point and handicap hurdle winner who could relish the switch to fences
11	O'Connell Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	156	—	5545-3	103	117	77	21d	—	—	+8	19.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Stayed on for 3rd over 2m4f at Hexham recently and this longer trip could be a major plus
1	Bali Body Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	168	—	12/31/	115	121	-	701d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Returns from long absence but won off this mark when last seen; market could guide
NR	Bretney Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Henry Daly	J:Harry Cobden T:Henry Daly	156	p	4P18P-	103	121	111	199d	—	—	+6	20.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Two wins last season but his best form has come on good/good to soft ground
6	Conquredalofeurope Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	165	p	232UP-	112	120	70	233d	—	—	+13	19	3.75/1	16 6%
Below par on final two runs last season but a break may have helped; on a competitive mark
2	Rath An Iuir Bay J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:Rose Dobbin	J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:Rose Dobbin	168	p	51538-	115	121	95	190d	—	—	+18	22.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Patchy campaign last season but he's just 1lb higher than when winning last December
NR	Presenting Jeremy Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	168	—	/5353-	115	120	105	243d	—	—	+17	22.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Very lightly raced 8yo; left Dan Skelton for £5,500; improvement needed on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Snowy Evening	3	10/3	3	10/3	3
Ernest Gray	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Not Sure	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
Camp Belan	15/2	7	7	7/1	7/1
Some Scope	13/2	7	7	7	15/2
O'Connell	13/2	7	7	7	8/1
Bali Body	10	9	17/2	10/1	10/1
Bretney	14	12	12	12	12
Conquredalofeurope	14	14	14	14	16
Rath An Iuir	18	16	16	16	16
Presenting Jeremy	20	40	33	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Not Sure

32.8

OR: 15 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Ernest Gray

28.2

OR: 16 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Snowy Evening

25.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Rath An Iuir

22.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.4

Presenting Jeremy

22.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.3

Bretney

20.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.3

O'Connell

19.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Conquredalofeurope

OR: 15.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6

Bali Body

18.5

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Some Scope

18.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Camp Belan

17.1

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bali Body	115	121	—
Rath An Iuir	115	121	95
Presenting Jeremy	115	120	105
Ernest Gray	114	—	—
Some Scope	112	—	—
Conquredalofeurope	112	120	70
Not Sure	110	120	98
Snowy Evening	108	121	—
Camp Belan	106	118	104
O'Connell	103	117	77
Bretney	103	121	111

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
O'Connell	21d ago	Fit
Snowy Evening	22d ago	Fit
Camp Belan	27d ago	Fit
Some Scope	176d ago	Long break
Rath An Iuir	190d ago	Long break
Bretney	199d ago	Long break
Ernest Gray	202d ago	Long break
Not Sure	212d ago	Long break
Conquredalofeurope	233d ago	Long break
Presenting Jeremy	243d ago	Long break
Bali Body	701d ago	Long break