Molton Brown Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Ascot

16:15

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 1m7f152y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £5,446

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Celtic Dino Chestnut J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has a useful pedigree and makes his debut with his yard going well
9	Oak Grove Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	41-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won a point in April and his new yard excels in bumpers; leading contender
7	Monty Bodkin Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
105,000euros 3yo; classy pedigree; stable 10% in bumpers in last five seasons
4	Dino Magic Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
125,000euros 3yo; top stable won this race last year with another newcomer
1	All Authorized Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	160	—	1-	-	111	95	214d	—	—	0	14	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Looked good prospect when winning on debut at Fontwell; should make bold bid under penalty
3	Chauffeur Driven Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	156	—	1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	12.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won maiden point in Ireland in May; new stable has impressive 21% strike-rate in bumpers
6	Guivinec Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Honeyball	156	t	31-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+7	14	2.75/1	12 8%
Won second of two 2m4f points by a wide margin; has joined yard with fine bumper record
10	Spice Boy Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	156	—	7-4	-	110	76	23d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Improved on debut form when fourth at Worcester and there could be better still to come
5	Electric Mason Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Chris Gordon	J:Bryony Frost T:Chris Gordon	156	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	6.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Promising second in point in February, subsequently joining Chris Gordon for £110,000
11	U Cant Be Serious Chestnut J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Joe Tizzard	156	—	6-	-	98	25	208d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Sixth of nine on debut at Chepstow in the spring; improvement possible but necessary
8	Nineelmspark Bay J:Mr John Reddington(7) T:Thomas Gallagher	J:Mr John Reddington(7) T:Thomas Gallagher	156	—	6	-	99	-	30d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
100-1, only sixth of nine on debut at Warwick four weeks ago; plenty of improvement needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Celtic Dino	3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Oak Grove	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Monty Bodkin	5	5	5	5	11/2
Dino Magic	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	6
All Authorized	6	17/2	15/2	15/2	17/2
Chauffeur Driven	9	10	10	10	10/1
Guivinec	10	11	12	11	11
Spice Boy	14	14	14	14	12
Electric Mason	16	14	14	14	14
U Cant Be Serious	25	22	22	25	16/1
Nineelmspark	100	80	66	100	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Oak Grove

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

All Authorized

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

17/2

3rd

Guivinec

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.9

Chauffeur Driven

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Electric Mason

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Celtic Dino

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Monty Bodkin

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Dino Magic

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Spice Boy

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

U Cant Be Serious

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Nineelmspark

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Celtic Dino	—	—	—
Oak Grove	—	—	—
Monty Bodkin	—	—	—
Dino Magic	—	—	—
All Authorized	—	111	95
Chauffeur Driven	—	—	—
Guivinec	—	—	—
Spice Boy	—	110	76
Electric Mason	—	—	—
U Cant Be Serious	—	98	25
Nineelmspark	—	99	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spice Boy	23d ago	Fit
Nineelmspark	30d ago	Fit
U Cant Be Serious	208d ago	Long break
All Authorized	214d ago	Long break
Celtic Dino	—	—
Oak Grove	—	—
Monty Bodkin	—	—
Dino Magic	—	—
Chauffeur Driven	—	—
Guivinec	—	—
Electric Mason	—	—