Paddy Power Dear Lord I've Left The Immersion On Mares Maiden Hurdle

Cork

13:30

Date 2023-11-05

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Abi's Champ Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	161	—	2-113	-	-	-	37d	—	—	-27	18.9	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Two bumper wins during the summer, sets the standard after third to Aurora Vega at Gowran
2	Banprionsa Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-21	25.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Well-related mare, beat Jetaway To Getaway by 22l in a Lingstown maiden, interesting
NR	Queens Vic Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	1/	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	15.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two years since she won a maiden point in good style, dam a half-sister to Minella Rocco
R19	Tilloughna Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:David Kenneth Budds	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:David Kenneth Budds	161	t	6789-2	101	116	53	163d	—	—	+12	19.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Reserve, possible future handicap winner judging by Limerick second, others preferred here
7	Mag Dillane Bay J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E McNamara	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E McNamara	161	—	357-72	-	110	-	14d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Best run so far when second in a maiden hurdle at Limerick two weeks ago, more needed
8	Milanaway Bay J:Daniel King(3) T:Miss Shauna Larkin	J:Daniel King(3) T:Miss Shauna Larkin	161	—	48-458	-	-	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Best bumper form when fourth at Tramore three starts ago, others have stronger credentials
6	Karacole Bay J:J J Slevin T:James M Barcoe	J:J J Slevin T:James M Barcoe	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Not seen since winning a 1m6f event on good-to-firm ground in France in July 2020
5	Jetaway To Getaway Chestnut J:Denis O'Regan T:Cian Collins	J:Denis O'Regan T:Cian Collins	161	—	3-2847	-	89	60	17d	—	—	+1	2.5	24.75/1	100 1%
No match for Banprionsa in a point-to-point, ordinary form over hurdles so far
17	Pebble Bleu Grey J:Phillip Enright T:Colin Motherway	J:Phillip Enright T:Colin Motherway	160	—	3-05	-	106	-	10d	—	—	0	2.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Showed some promise on her hurdling debut at Clonmel but likely to need more experience
12	Barryroe Madam Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Brian M McMahon	J:Richard Deegan T:Brian M McMahon	160	—	7-6	-	93	11	41d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Not disgraced in sixth at Roscommon, will be of more interest when qualified for handicaps
11	Victorious Bay Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	161	—	—	-	69	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Good pedigree but down the field in a Clonmel maiden in which Pebble Bleu was fifth
13	Calendar House Grey J:G B Noonan(5) T:Joseph Hennessy	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Joseph Hennessy	160	—	877U	-	65	14	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Has run in two bumpers and two maiden hurdles without showing any positive signs
15	Kilbarry Saint Brown J:Danny Mullins T:C O'Keeffe	J:Danny Mullins T:C O'Keeffe	160	t	3P-8	-	71	-	41d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Shaped well on only point-to-point start, has failed to match that in two hurdle runs
18	Western Rock Bay J:Evan Dwan(7) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	J:Evan Dwan(7) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	160	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Half-sister to 2m4f hurdle winner Rock On Bennie, dam 2m hurdle winner
3	Boblere Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:E Sheehy	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:E Sheehy	161	—	P-97	-	39	34	147d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Pulled up in a point; tailed off in a Wexford bumper and in a maiden hurdle at Punchestown
4	Ivy Park Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Daniel Joseph O'Leary	J:Donagh Meyler T:Daniel Joseph O'Leary	161	t	88-	-	57	12	227d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Lost touch from halfway on belated debut at Leopardstown, struggled over C&D on second run
10	Smile Again Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Mark Fahey	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Mark Fahey	161	—	9-600	-	76	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Did not jump well in a Clonmel maiden in which Pebble Bleu was fifth, makes no appeal
14	Fourleaf Shamrock Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:James Joseph Mangan	160	v	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Dam had poor form but is a half-sister to bumper/hurdles winner Mysloegin, visored
16	Onebrightbluerose Bay J:Seamus Cronin(5) T:Patrick Cronin	J:Seamus Cronin(5) T:Patrick Cronin	160	—	0090F	-	-	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Did not show much in bumpers, fell four from home at Limerick on hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Abi's Champ	10/11	5/6	4/5	4/5	4/5
Banprionsa	11/10	11/10	1	11/10	11/10
Queens Vic	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Tilloughna	10	10	10	9	10
Mag Dillane	10	12	12	11	16
Milanaway	66	50	50	50	50
Karacole	50	40	40	40	50
Jetaway To Getaway	100	80	80	80	100
Pebble Bleu	100	66	50	25	50
Barryroe Madam	100	66	66	66	66
Victorious Bay	150	150	150	150	150
Calendar House	150	100	100	100	100
Kilbarry Saint	80	80	66	66	66
Western Rock	150	100	100	100	100
Boblere	80	200	200	200	200
Ivy Park	100	200	200	200	200
Smile Again	150	200	200	200	200
Fourleaf Shamrock	150	66	66	66	66
Onebrightbluerose	150	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Banprionsa

25.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15.4

11/10

2nd

Tilloughna

19.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Abi's Champ

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 15.4

10/11

Queens Vic

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Pebble Bleu

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

100

Jetaway To Getaway

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

100

Mag Dillane

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Karacole

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Milanaway

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Barryroe Madam

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Calendar House

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Kilbarry Saint

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Western Rock

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Fourleaf Shamrock

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Victorious Bay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Boblere

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ivy Park

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Smile Again

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Onebrightbluerose

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tilloughna	101	116	53
Abi's Champ	—	—	—
Banprionsa	—	—	—
Queens Vic	—	—	—
Mag Dillane	—	110	—
Milanaway	—	—	—
Karacole	—	—	—
Jetaway To Getaway	—	89	60
Pebble Bleu	—	106	—
Barryroe Madam	—	93	11
Victorious Bay	—	69	—
Calendar House	—	65	14
Kilbarry Saint	—	71	—
Western Rock	—	—	—
Boblere	—	39	34
Ivy Park	—	57	12
Smile Again	—	76	—
Fourleaf Shamrock	—	—	—
Onebrightbluerose	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pebble Bleu	10d ago	Quick return
Victorious Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Smile Again	10d ago	Quick return
Mag Dillane	14d ago	Fit
Calendar House	15d ago	Fit
Onebrightbluerose	15d ago	Fit
Jetaway To Getaway	17d ago	Fit
Milanaway	26d ago	Fit
Abi's Champ	37d ago	Fit
Barryroe Madam	41d ago	Fit
Kilbarry Saint	41d ago	Fit
Boblere	147d ago	Long break
Tilloughna	163d ago	Long break
Ivy Park	227d ago	Long break
Banprionsa	—	—
Queens Vic	—	—
Karacole	—	—
Western Rock	—	—
Fourleaf Shamrock	—	—