Braithwaite Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Carlisle

16:15

Date 2023-11-05

Distance 2m1f33y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,722

Winning Time 4m 32.06s (slow by 30.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mister Meggit (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	11/4	Won
2nd	Denemethy (IRE) Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	6/4F	12
3rd	Wolfburg (IRE) Ryan Mania · Sandy Thomson	80/1	.5
4th	Panhandle Slim (IRE) Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	5/1	3
5th	Wal Buck's (FR) Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell	11/2	2
6th	Askmore (IRE) Jonathan Burke · Rebecca Menzies	11/1	1
7th	Adveram (GB) Patrick Wadge · Ian Duncan	50/1	1
8th	Great Warford (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	20/1	10
9th	Western Glen (IRE) Danny McMenamin · Gillian Boanas	80/1	13
10th	She Won't Mind (GB) Harry Reed · Tim Reed	50/1	3.25
11th	Cave Hill (GB) Stephen Mulqueen · Ian Duncan	100/1	1.5
12th	Ideal Vision (GB) Callum Bewley · John Davies	100/1	6.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Denemethy Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	F421-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	21.9	0.25/1	2 50%
Bought for £48,000 after Irish point win in February; with good stable for rules career
6	Mister Meggit Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
62,000euros 3yo; half-brother to a fair hurdler; stable has good bumper strike-rate
7	Panhandle Slim Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	156	—	62	-	119	106	32d	—	—	-13	13	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Very promising rules debut when clear second at Bangor (soft) last month; likely contender
8	Wal Buck's Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	156	—	4-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Well held when fourth on Irish point debut but that might have been a very good race
2	Askmore Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Jonathan Burke T:Rebecca Menzies	156	—	P1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Won slow-ground Irish point in March; new yard has very respectable bumper strike-rate
11	She Won't Mind Chestnut J:Harry Reed T:Tim Reed	J:Harry Reed T:Tim Reed	149	h	53-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	11.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Improved to win maiden point by 20l in May and was bought for £22,000 soon afterwards
5	Great Warford Brown J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
First foal from half-sister to useful jumper Knight In Dubai; yard not prolific in bumpers
1	Adveram Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Ian Duncan	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Ian Duncan	156	—	73-	-	94	17	239d	—	—	+1	3.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Not disgraced on either start last season but others have more compelling form
9	Wolfburg Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	156	—	—	-	59	-	179d	1W/1P 1 run	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Only 7-1 for debut at Kelso in May but, after racing too freely, was tailed off
12	Western Glen Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Gillian Boanas	J:Danny McMenamin T:Gillian Boanas	149	—	7	-	100	70	25d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Well beaten when 66-1 for last month's Sedgefield debut; can only be watched here
3	Cave Hill Chestnut J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Ian Duncan	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Ian Duncan	156	—	65-	-	89	17	220d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Did not show enough on his two starts last season to warrant serious consideration
10	Ideal Vision Bay J:Callum Bewley T:John Davies	J:Callum Bewley T:John Davies	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Half-sister to same connections' low-grade AW winner Ideal Dream; not the obvious answer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Denemethy	2	2	2	2	2
Mister Meggit	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Panhandle Slim	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Wal Buck's	5	9/2	5	5	5
Askmore	12	12	12	12	12
She Won't Mind	20	22	22	22/1	20
Great Warford	20	20	22	20	20
Adveram	50	40	40	40	33
Wolfburg	40	40	40	40	33
Western Glen	80	66	66	66	66
Cave Hill	100	80	80	80	66
Ideal Vision	66	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Denemethy

21.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.1 Odds: 8.9

2nd

Panhandle Slim

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

7/2

3rd

She Won't Mind

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Askmore

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 1.7

Mister Meggit

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Wal Buck's

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Adveram

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Great Warford

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Wolfburg

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Western Glen

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Cave Hill

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ideal Vision

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Denemethy	—	—	—
Mister Meggit	—	—	—
Panhandle Slim	—	119	106
Wal Buck's	—	—	—
Askmore	—	—	—
She Won't Mind	—	—	—
Great Warford	—	—	—
Adveram	—	94	17
Wolfburg	—	59	—
Western Glen	—	100	70
Cave Hill	—	89	17
Ideal Vision	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Western Glen	25d ago	Fit
Panhandle Slim	32d ago	Fit
Wolfburg	179d ago	Long break
Cave Hill	220d ago	Long break
Adveram	239d ago	Long break
Denemethy	—	—
Mister Meggit	—	—
Wal Buck's	—	—
Askmore	—	—
She Won't Mind	—	—
Great Warford	—	—
Ideal Vision	—	—