Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle (Div II)

Cork

12:20

Date 2023-11-05

Distance 2m

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €7,080

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Jigoro Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising 2nd on sole Flat start in France in March (1m4f); respected on hurdling debut
2	Flamborough Chestnut J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	161	—	26-634	119	129	108	—	—	—	-5	27.3	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Fourth in the Lartigue Hurdle at Listowel; 3rd in the Naas November H'cap since; go close
13	Winning Smut Bay J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:Michael Hourigan	J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:Michael Hourigan	161	—	7-8362	113	118	71	35d	—	—	+3	21	0.75/1	4 25%
Was 2nd to a useful sort in a Killarney novice over 2m7f last time; should be involved
NR	Rosalys Bay J:TBC T:Henry De Bromhead	J: T:Henry De Bromhead	154	t	1-4	-	116	89	50d	—	—	-13	15.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
UK bumper winner ran well on hurdling debut at Navan; can improve from that and go closer
5	Jasmin De Cotte Brown J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	161	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Sold for 160,000GBP in April after 2nd in a Monksgrange point' in March; run respectably
NR	Diamond Dollar Brown J:TBC T:C Byrnes	J: T:C Byrnes	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5.1	3.25/1	14 7%
A 10,500Euros foal; by a quality sire and worth a market check if getting a run; reserve
18	Time For Tea Bay J:Rachael Blackmore(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Cost 38,000Euros as a 3yo; is by a useful sire but seems top yard's second-string
1	Fenway Park Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	7-	-	-	-	205d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Things didn't go as smoothly as planned on bumper debut; is likely capable of better
16	A Great Buzz Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
By the legendary Galileo but has a NH damline; worth a market check
12	Tippin And Tappin Brown J:Shane Fitzgerald T:E Bolger	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:E Bolger	161	—	P-85	-	102	75	15d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Similar efforts in two maiden hurdles and will have to find significant improvement
NR	Aboy Joey b/br J:TBC T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J: T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	12.25/1	50 2%
By a useful sire but unsold for 4,800Euros as a 3yo; best watched if getting in; reserve
9	Kilbrin Rocco Bay J:A P Heskin T:Michael Winters	J:A P Heskin T:Michael Winters	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Useful pedigree but probably best watched unless market support
3	Georgian Quarter Bay J:Mark Walsh T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:Mark Walsh T:John E & Thomas Kiely	161	—	65-0	-	53	39	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Mild promise in points' but well beaten on hurdling debut at Punchestown; best watched
14	Without Exception Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Cost 6,500Euros as a 3yo; likely best watched today for future reference
10	Meidhreach Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:N Stokes	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:N Stokes	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Flat-bred made 33,000Euros as a foal and 40,000Gns as a yearling; best watched
8	Jouster Bay J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	447-06	-	87	40	8d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Some promise on second hurdle start at Galway but likely to find plenty stronger today
11	The Dawn Brown J:Donagh Meyler T:W J Burke	J:Donagh Meyler T:W J Burke	161	—	PF5-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Just modest promise in three point-to-points and best watched today
6	Jay Pee M Bay J:Daniel King(3) T:Daniel William O'Sullivan	J:Daniel King(3) T:Daniel William O'Sullivan	161	—	6-0	-	-	-	175d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
A hint of promise in two bumpers but not enough to warrant support
4	Golden Reel Chestnut J:Philip Donovan(5) T:C W J Farrell	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:C W J Farrell	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	19.75/1	80 1%
Not beaten too far in a trio of Flat maidens; could run respectably
R19	Glen Kiln Bay J:Brian Hayes T:David Harry Kelly	J:Brian Hayes T:David Harry Kelly	161	—	70	-	-	-	89d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Well beaten in two bumpers and is best watched on hurdling debut for a new yard; reserve
15	Youmli Bay J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	161	—	00	-	68	33	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Never involved in two maiden hurdles and best wait for handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jigoro	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Flamborough	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8
Winning Smut	4	4	4	4	4
Rosalys	5	4	SP	9/2	SP
Jasmin De Cotte	11/2	6	13/2	11/2	6/1
Diamond Dollar	SP	12	12	12	14
Time For Tea	16	16	16	16	16
Fenway Park	18	18/1	16	16	18
A Great Buzz	22	22	22	22	22
Tippin And Tappin	22	20	20	18	20/1
Aboy Joey	50	33	33	33	33
Kilbrin Rocco	25	20	20	18	20/1
Georgian Quarter	50	40	40	40	40/1
Without Exception	50	50	50	50	50
Meidhreach	50	50	50	50	50
Jouster	150	80	66	80	80
The Dawn	50	40	40	40	40
Jay Pee M	100	80	80	80	80
Golden Reel	80	66	66	66	66
Glen Kiln	150	125	125	125	125
Youmli	500	150	150	150	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flamborough

27.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Winning Smut

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

3rd

Rosalys

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 8.8

9/2

Jasmin De Cotte

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Jigoro

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Diamond Dollar

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

Time For Tea

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Fenway Park

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Aboy Joey

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Kilbrin Rocco

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

A Great Buzz

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Tippin And Tappin

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Georgian Quarter

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Without Exception

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Meidhreach

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

The Dawn

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Jouster

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Jay Pee M

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Golden Reel

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Glen Kiln

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Youmli

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flamborough	119	129	108
Winning Smut	113	118	71
Jigoro	—	—	—
Rosalys	—	116	89
Jasmin De Cotte	—	—	—
Diamond Dollar	—	—	—
Time For Tea	—	—	—
Fenway Park	—	—	—
A Great Buzz	—	—	—
Tippin And Tappin	—	102	75
Aboy Joey	—	—	—
Kilbrin Rocco	—	—	—
Georgian Quarter	—	53	39
Without Exception	—	—	—
Meidhreach	—	—	—
Jouster	—	87	40
The Dawn	—	—	—
Jay Pee M	—	—	—
Golden Reel	—	—	—
Glen Kiln	—	—	—
Youmli	—	68	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jouster	8d ago	Quick return
Tippin And Tappin	15d ago	Fit
Youmli	15d ago	Fit
Georgian Quarter	26d ago	Fit
Winning Smut	35d ago	Fit
Rosalys	50d ago	Fresh
Glen Kiln	89d ago	Fresh
Jay Pee M	175d ago	Long break
Fenway Park	205d ago	Long break
Jigoro	—	—
Flamborough	—	—
Jasmin De Cotte	—	—
Diamond Dollar	—	—
Time For Tea	—	—
A Great Buzz	—	—
Aboy Joey	—	—
Kilbrin Rocco	—	—
Without Exception	—	—
Meidhreach	—	—
The Dawn	—	—
Golden Reel	—	—