Lexus Melbourne Cup (Group 1 Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)

Flemington

4:00

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 2m

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,485,876

Runners (24)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (23)	Cleveland b J:NON-RUNNER T:Kris Lees	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kris Lees	115	—	049621	1	139	101	11d	—	—	—	13.5	—
1 (2)	Gold Trip b J:James McDonald T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	J:James McDonald T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	129	—	704135	-	136	-	10d	—	—	—	7.1	—
Won this last year and heads into defending his title in better form; obvious claims
2 (9)	Alenquer b J:Damien Oliver T:Michael Moroney	J:Damien Oliver T:Michael Moroney	125	t	-00059	-	129	89	11d	—	—	—	0	—
Not at his peak in Australia yet but showed just enough last time to warrant some interest
3 (16)	Without A Fight b J:Mark Zahra T:Anthony & Sam Freedman	J:Mark Zahra T:Anthony & Sam Freedman	125	—	0-1161	3	136	88	17d	—	—	—	0	—
Gained a new career best when landing the Caulfield Cup last time; easy to like
4 (18)	Breakup ch J:Kohei Matsuyama T:Tatsuya Yoshioka	J:Kohei Matsuyama T:Tatsuya Yoshioka	121	—	0-3408	-	135	-	17d	—	—	—	0	—
Japanese raider who looks set up to run big in this on peak form; stays well
5 (3)	Vauban ch J:Ryan Moore T:W P Mullins	J:Ryan Moore T:W P Mullins	121	t	411/11	-	138	124	92d	—	—	—	0	—
Holds solid form claims; only niggle would be genuinely fast ground
6 (4)	Soulcombe b J:Joao Moreira T:Chris Waller	J:Joao Moreira T:Chris Waller	118	t	821437	-	139	-	17d	—	—	—	6.1	—
Has been in terrific form at a range of trips and should stay 2m; can be slowly away
7 (8)	Absurde b J:Zac Purton T:W P Mullins	J:Zac Purton T:W P Mullins	117	—	127-21	-	138	116	73d	—	—	—	0	—
Last seen landing the Ebor but faces a tough task at the weights with a couple of these
8 (15)	Right You Are b/br J:John Allen T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	J:John Allen T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	117	tv	212505	-	138	-	17d	—	—	—	3.5	—
Winner of 10 of his 26 starts but has barely done any racing at Group level
9 (19)	Vow And Declare ch J:Billy Egan T:Danny O'Brien	J:Billy Egan T:Danny O'Brien	117	p	460022	-	140	-	11d	—	—	—	8.5	—
Won this in 2019 but well beaten in two subsequent runnings; not ruled out
11 (11)	Ashrun b J:Kerrin McEvoy T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	J:Kerrin McEvoy T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	114	t	10/762	-	138	-	13d	—	—	—	0	—
Beaten 5l in the 2020 Melbourne Cup; in good form after long spell of injury
12 (12)	Daqiansweet Junior b/br J:Daniel Stackhouse T:Phillip Stokes	J:Daniel Stackhouse T:Phillip Stokes	114	v	-00074	-	133	-	24d	—	—	—	0	—
Respectable 6th in this 12 months ago when carrying 3lb more; can run okay without winning
13 (20)	Okita Soushi b J:Dylan Gibbons T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Gibbons T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	114	t	115130	-	138	132	17d	—	—	—	9.1	—
Never featured in the Caulfield Cup last time but not dismissed on best form before that
14 (22)	Sheraz b J:Beau Mertens T:Chris Waller	J:Beau Mertens T:Chris Waller	114	—	5-0808	-	137	-	11d	—	—	—	0	—
Hasn't yet won in Australia & doesn't have the recent profile to be a leading player here
15 (21)	Lastotchka b J:Craig A Williams T:Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	J:Craig A Williams T:Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	112	—	1-2341	-	137	97	65d	—	—	—	7	—
Winning French stayer debuting for new trainer; wide draw not helpful
16 (7)	Magical Lagoon b J:Mark Du Plessis T:Chris Waller	J:Mark Du Plessis T:Chris Waller	112	—	-06906	-	137	-	13d	—	—	—	0	—
Won the 2022 Irish Oaks; one of the more interesting outsiders
17 (5)	Military Mission gr J:Rachel King T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	J:Rachel King T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	112	—	920141	1	137	-	24d	—	—	—	16	—
Last 3 runs have been good; could be the type to feature in the finish if staying trip
18 (1)	Serpentine ch J:Jye McNeil T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	J:Jye McNeil T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	112	tb	129243	-	137	-	31d	—	—	—	6.5	—
Back in better form recently; has a great draw for a horse known to front run
19 (6)	Virtuous Circle b J:Craig Newitt T:Liam Howley	J:Craig Newitt T:Liam Howley	112	—	020908	-	143	-	13d	—	—	—	1	—
Hasn't won past 7.5f yet but was second in the 1m4f Australian Derby; much more needed
20 (24)	More Felons b J:Jamie Kah T:Chris Waller	J:Jamie Kah T:Chris Waller	111	t	1-7285	-	140	115	13d	—	—	—	7	—
Better known to UK punters as Scriptwriter; has form to run okay but stall 24 not ideal
21 (13)	Future History b J:Hollie Doyle T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	110	t	721213	-	139	-	11d	—	—	—	16.5	—
Won the Bart Cummings and Hollie Doyle takes the ride; chances if stays 2m
22 (17)	Interpretation b J:Teodore Nugent T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	J:Teodore Nugent T:Ciaron Maher & David Eustace	110	t	-32591	-	136	-	6d	—	—	—	12.1	—
Pulled up in this last year; won Bendigo Cup last time but more needed here to feature
23 (14)	Kalapour b J:Zac Lloyd T:Kris Lees	J:Zac Lloyd T:Kris Lees	110	p	3U7331	-	139	-	3d	—	—	—	13.3	—
Won Archer Stakes here under a good front-running ride on Saturday; is at least in form
24 (10)	True Marvel b/br J:Ben E Thompson T:Matthew A Smith	J:Ben E Thompson T:Matthew A Smith	110	—	838080	-	132	-	11d	—	—	—	0.6	—
Has run okay at long odds in the past but never won a Listed race let alone a Group event

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Future History

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 16.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Military Mission

OR: 0 Form: 16 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Cleveland

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

Kalapour

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 13.3 Odds: 0

—

Interpretation

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

Okita Soushi

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 9.1 Odds: 0

—

Vow And Declare

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Gold Trip

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Lastotchka

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

More Felons

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Serpentine

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Soulcombe

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0

—

Right You Are

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Virtuous Circle

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

True Marvel

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Alenquer

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Without A Fight

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Breakup

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Vauban

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Absurde

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ashrun

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Daqiansweet Junior

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sheraz

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Magical Lagoon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Without A Fight Top Rated	3	136	88
Cleveland	1	139	101
Military Mission	1	137	—
Gold Trip	—	136	—
Alenquer	—	129	89
Breakup	—	135	—
Vauban	—	138	124
Soulcombe	—	139	—
Absurde	—	138	116
Right You Are	—	138	—
Vow And Declare	—	140	—
Ashrun	—	138	—
Daqiansweet Junior	—	133	—
Okita Soushi	—	138	132
Sheraz	—	137	—
Lastotchka	—	137	97
Magical Lagoon	—	137	—
Serpentine	—	137	—
Virtuous Circle	—	143	—
More Felons	—	140	115
Future History	—	139	—
Interpretation	—	136	—
Kalapour	—	139	—
True Marvel	—	132	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalapour	3d ago	Quick return
Interpretation	6d ago	Quick return
Gold Trip	10d ago	Quick return
Cleveland	11d ago	Quick return
Alenquer	11d ago	Quick return
Vow And Declare	11d ago	Quick return
Sheraz	11d ago	Quick return
Future History	11d ago	Quick return
True Marvel	11d ago	Quick return
Ashrun	13d ago	Quick return
Magical Lagoon	13d ago	Quick return
Virtuous Circle	13d ago	Quick return
More Felons	13d ago	Quick return
Without A Fight	17d ago	Fit
Breakup	17d ago	Fit
Soulcombe	17d ago	Fit
Right You Are	17d ago	Fit
Okita Soushi	17d ago	Fit
Daqiansweet Junior	24d ago	Fit
Military Mission	24d ago	Fit
Serpentine	31d ago	Fit
Lastotchka	65d ago	Fresh
Absurde	73d ago	Fresh
Vauban	92d ago	Long break