Deep Water Bay Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Happy Valley

11:40

Date 2023-11-08

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £52,183

Winning Time 1m 40.16s (slow by 2.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Right Honourable (IRE) Matthew Chadwick · Mark Newnham	114/10	Won
2nd	Regency Happy Star (AUS) Alexis Badel · A S Cruz	28/1	.5
3rd	Happy Jai Jai (NZ) Zac Purton · T P Yung	37/10	1.25
4th	Brother Pearl (NZ) L J Ferraris · C H Yip	49/1	1
5th	Nice Birdie (IRE) Jerry Chau · C S Shum	9/1	.25
6th	Medic Elite (NZ) Karis Teetan · P C Ng	19/10F	.25
7th	Double Show (NZ) Brenton Avdulla · Douglas Whyte	10/1	0.05
8th	Tsuen Wan Glory (NZ) Andrea Atzeni · K L Man	27/1	1.75
9th	Chiron (NZ) K C Leung · David A Hayes	38/1	.25
10th	Beauty Nova (GB) Angus Chung · W K Mo	66/10	0.05
11th	Faithful Trinity (GER) Matthew Poon · W Y So	31/1	5
12th	Turbo Power (USA) Lyle Hewitson · K W Lui	36/5	7.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Perfect Rock Brown J:TBC T:Y S Tsui	J: T:Y S Tsui	124	—	800066	27	65	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Dip in grade has yet to spark any improvement this season; can only be watched at present
R14 (14)	Amazing Travis Chestnut J:TBC T:W Y So	J: T:W Y So	134	t	008907	37	54	-	7d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Only had the seven runs but yet to make an impact; easily overlooked despite tumbling mark
1 (9)	Right Honourable Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:Mark Newnham	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Mark Newnham	135	b	384046	38	60	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well treated C&D winner; obvious claims but Zac Purton prefers to stick with Happy Jai Jai
2 (2)	Nice Birdie Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	134	t	440600	37	66	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Maiden but often runs well in defeat; enters calculations off this reduced mark
3 (8)	Happy Jai Jai Bay J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	133	t	226832	36	62	-	28d	—	—	—	8.1	—	—
C&D winner is 4lb below his last winning mark; in good nick and Purton rides; contender
4 (5)	Brother Pearl Brown J:L J Ferraris T:C H Yip	J:L J Ferraris T:C H Yip	131	—	567008	34	64	-	42d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Career low mark but plenty of improvement needed on what he has shown to date
5 (12)	Faithful Trinity Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:W Y So	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:W Y So	129	tb	633137	32	54	-	21d	—	—	—	8.6	—	—
Not disgraced off this mark since winning over C&D in July but faces a tricky wide draw
6 (6)	Regency Happy Star Bay J:Alexis Badel T:A S Cruz	J:Alexis Badel T:A S Cruz	129	htp	009050	32	51	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Limited promise to date in five runs; scope for improvement but easy to look elsewhere
7 (11)	Chiron Bay J:K C Leung T:David A Hayes	J:K C Leung T:David A Hayes	127	tb	853907	30	59	-	14d	—	—	—	0.9	—	—
Glimpses of ability on turf but modest strike-rate (1-25) and sole success was on the dirt
8 (1)	Medic Elite Bay J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	127	et	661455	30	60	-	10d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Won over C&D in September and not harshly treated; plum inside draw an added bonus
9 (7)	Double Show b/br J:Brenton Avdulla T:Douglas Whyte	J:Brenton Avdulla T:Douglas Whyte	126	et	940523	29	65	-	21d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Longstanding maiden but arguably in the best form of his career; minor place hopes again
10 (4)	Turbo Power Chestnut J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	124	—	885695	27	71	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Won on debut over 5f; has form over 6f in better grade but this trip not certain to suit
11 (10)	Tsuen Wan Glory Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:K L Man	J:Andrea Atzeni T:K L Man	119	ht	509430	22	61	-	21d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
0-16 but signs of promise this season; dropped 2lb and not entirely dismissed
12 (3)	Beauty Nova Bay J:Angus Chung(5) T:W K Mo	J:Angus Chung(5) T:W K Mo	115	tp	236080	18	64	-	21d	—	—	—	0.6	—	—
Fairly consistent maiden; eased 2lb but hasn't pulled up any trees in last three starts

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Faithful Trinity

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Happy Jai Jai

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Double Show

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Medic Elite

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Tsuen Wan Glory

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Chiron

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Beauty Nova

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Perfect Rock

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Amazing Travis

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Right Honourable

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nice Birdie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Brother Pearl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Regency Happy Star

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Turbo Power

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Right Honourable	38	60	—
Amazing Travis	37	54	—
Nice Birdie	37	66	—
Happy Jai Jai	36	62	—
Brother Pearl	34	64	—
Faithful Trinity	32	54	—
Regency Happy Star	32	51	—
Chiron	30	59	—
Medic Elite	30	60	—
Double Show	29	65	—
Perfect Rock	27	65	—
Turbo Power	27	71	—
Tsuen Wan Glory	22	61	—
Beauty Nova	18	64	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Amazing Travis	7d ago	Quick return
Medic Elite	10d ago	Quick return
Nice Birdie	14d ago	Fit
Chiron	14d ago	Fit
Turbo Power	14d ago	Fit
Right Honourable	21d ago	Fit
Faithful Trinity	21d ago	Fit
Double Show	21d ago	Fit
Tsuen Wan Glory	21d ago	Fit
Beauty Nova	21d ago	Fit
Perfect Rock	28d ago	Fit
Happy Jai Jai	28d ago	Fit
Regency Happy Star	28d ago	Fit
Brother Pearl	42d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.