RhinoBet Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Huntingdon

15:48

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 1m5f148y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,178

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Love Tree Bay J:James Bowen T:James Owen	J:James Bowen T:James Owen	154	—	2	-	104	-	12d	—	—	-24	19.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Near-2l second on debut (2m, soft) sets the standard; can atone if less green late on
8	Simply Belle Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:David Dennis	J:Tom Bellamy T:David Dennis	154	—	4	-	98	87	35d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Encouraging near-4l fourth on C&D debut (good); could take a hand if committed earlier
2	Caledonian Pearl Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	154	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Out of a 1m-1m1f winner; yard had its first bumper winner this term (debutant) at weekend
3	Dameofthecotswolds Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	154	—	5	-	96	-	12d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
8l behind Love Tree on this month's Stratford debut; unlikely the shorter trip is a plus
9	Starspangledsammy Chestnut J:Jack Quinlan T:Conrad Allen	J:Jack Quinlan T:Conrad Allen	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Half-sibling to numerous 7f-1m2f winners at up to Group 3; rare bumper runner for yard
6	Oceana Orange Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
From a family full of 6f-1m Flat winners; yard 19% strike-rate in bumpers in recent years
1	Alduni's Girl Bay J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Niece of a bumper/hurdles scorer; yard 1-8 in bumpers in last five seasons (50-1 winner)
7	Saved Lizzie Chestnut J:Fergus Gregory T:Robert Eddery	J:Fergus Gregory T:Robert Eddery	154	—	9	-	66	56	35d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
25-1 when a weakening 28l ninth on last month's C&D debut (good); may need more time
5	May Dancer Bay J:Jamie Gambin(7) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Jamie Gambin(7) T:Christine Dunnett	154	—	—	-	-	-	35d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
150-1 when beaten 68l on last month's C&D debut (good); huge step forward required

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Love Tree	1	11/10	6/5	11/10	11/10
Simply Belle	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Caledonian Pearl	13/2	6	6/1	6/1	6/1
Dameofthecotswolds	13/2	6	11/2	6	6/1
Starspangledsammy	14	16/1	14/1	16	18
Oceana Orange	22	22	22	22	22
Alduni's Girl	40	40	33	40	33
Saved Lizzie	100	100	80	100	80
May Dancer	500	200	150	200	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Love Tree

19.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 14.2

6/5

2nd

Simply Belle

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Dameofthecotswolds

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Caledonian Pearl

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Starspangledsammy

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Oceana Orange

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Alduni's Girl

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Saved Lizzie

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

May Dancer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Tree	—	104	—
Simply Belle	—	98	87
Caledonian Pearl	—	—	—
Dameofthecotswolds	—	96	—
Starspangledsammy	—	—	—
Oceana Orange	—	—	—
Alduni's Girl	—	—	—
Saved Lizzie	—	66	56
May Dancer	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Love Tree	12d ago	Quick return
Dameofthecotswolds	12d ago	Quick return
Simply Belle	35d ago	Fit
Saved Lizzie	35d ago	Fit
May Dancer	35d ago	Fit
Caledonian Pearl	—	—
Starspangledsammy	—	—
Oceana Orange	—	—
Alduni's Girl	—	—