Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	South Kensington Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	503	73	75	22	25d	—	—	-3	13.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promise in two of her first three starts as when third at Newcastle last time; considered
9 (7)	Berry Clever Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	123	—	067	63	78	50	17d	—	—	-9	8.3	0.75/1	4 25%
Out of the frame in three starts but caught the eye last time; should stay the longer trip
7 (2)	Xaarine Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:David Menuisier	J:Billy Loughnane T:David Menuisier	129	—	53203	69	84	51	13d	—	—	0	15.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Placed in three of last four starts, as when third at Kempton last time; holds claims
4 (8)	Delicacy Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	133	—	564	73	80	78	17d	—	—	-4	9.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has shown ability in both starts on the AW; latest effort was even better than it looked
5 (5)	Loaded Quiver Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	132	p	22167	72	85	31	13d	—	—	+6	15.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Brighton winner in August but held in both nurseries; needs to bounce back
6 (3)	Never Fear Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	1755	72	83	62	53d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Made a winning debut here in May, but hasn't progressed in three starts since
8 (6)	Tokyo Drift Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	127	—	023366	67	78	28	32d	—	—	+3	9.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Went close in a Thirsk maiden in May, but form has gradually regressed since; up in trip
1 (1)	Falling For You Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	137	—	4210	77	81	-	45d	—	—	+11	18.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Well held on nursery debut, but this is much easier and her dam won around here
2 (9)	Marie Ellen Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	134	—	255	74	79	-	46d	—	—	+5	9.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Some promise in her early starts and now makes nursery/AW debut; needs to settle better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
South Kensington	4	9/2	4	7/2	4
Berry Clever	4	4	4	4	4
Xaarine	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	4
Delicacy	11/2	5	5	5	5
Loaded Quiver	7	17/2	8	15/2	9
Never Fear	9	10	9	9	9
Tokyo Drift	12	12	12	12	12
Falling For You	14	11	11	10	12
Marie Ellen	16	16	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Falling For You

18.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Loaded Quiver

15.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Xaarine

15.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

South Kensington

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Never Fear

10.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Marie Ellen

9.9

OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

Delicacy

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Tokyo Drift

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.7

Berry Clever

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Falling For You	77	81	—
Marie Ellen	74	79	—
South Kensington	73	75	22
Delicacy	73	80	78
Loaded Quiver	72	85	31
Never Fear	72	83	62
Xaarine	69	84	51
Tokyo Drift	67	78	28
Berry Clever	63	78	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Xaarine	13d ago	Quick return
Loaded Quiver	13d ago	Quick return
Berry Clever	17d ago	Fit
Delicacy	17d ago	Fit
South Kensington	25d ago	Fit
Tokyo Drift	32d ago	Fit
Falling For You	45d ago	Fit
Marie Ellen	46d ago	Fresh
Never Fear	53d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.