Set Deposit Limits At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:25

Set Deposit Limits At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 28.34s (slow by 2.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Debora's Dream (IRE) Aidan Keeley · Roger Varian	5/4F	Won
2nd	Galloping On (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	100/30	1.5
3rd	Formidable Force (IRE) Hector Crouch · James Ferguson	5/1	1.5
4th	Viridian (IRE) G Cheyne · William Haggas	50/1	4.5
5th	Reine Des Coeurs (IRE) Jack Mitchell · George Boughey	16/1	1.5
6th	Harlington (FR) George Rooke · Ralph J Smith	200/1	1.5
7th	King Street (GB) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	33/1	1
8th	Wide Margin (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	28/1	0.2
9th	Road To Wembley (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	80/1	0.3
10th	Eastern Dream (GB) Marco Ghiani · James Tate	11/2	1.75
11th	Alvesta (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	11/1	.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Away Day (IRE) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	200/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Debora's Dream Brown J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	133	—	52532	80	88	76	13d	—	—	-5	25.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Not obviously progressive but he's gone down by only a neck in three of his five starts
5 (10)	Galloping On Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	133	—	4	-	81	66	19d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
In touch before getting outpaced and finishing a 3.75l fourth at Lingfield (7f AW; 10-1)
3 (2)	Eastern Dream Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:James Tate	J:Marco Ghiani T:James Tate	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
40,000gns yearling; sixth foal; closely related to 7f-1m winner Montatham (RPR 114)
4 (11)	Formidable Force Bay J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	133	—	6	-	71	-	95d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off since finishing sixth at Newmarket about three months ago in a 7f maiden (7f; 18-1)
11 (4)	Alvesta Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Well bred; in a top yard and likely best to let the market guide
12 (3)	Reine Des Coeurs Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:George Boughey	J:Jack Mitchell T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.25/1	22 5%
80,000euros yearling; fourth foal; dam 1m2f AW winner (RPR 92)
7 (8)	King Street Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	133	—	74	-	83	44	12d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Improved 4th over 6f here recently; sprint bred and will need to see out this longer trip
10 (9)	Wide Margin Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	—	55	-	73	42	12d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Others have achieved superior figures and he needs this to get a handicap mark
9 (7)	Viridian Bay J:G Cheyne T:William Haggas	J:G Cheyne T:William Haggas	133	—	48	-	60	13	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
It's been a low-key start thus far, beaten about 12l in two 7f novices
8 (6)	Road To Wembley Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	57	-	58	26	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
No better than fifth in two AW runs at this trip; looks best watched for now
1 (12)	Away Day Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	78	-	45	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten 20l and 34l in two 7f races, the latest on Polytrack at Chelmsford
6 (5)	Harlington Bay J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Third foal; half-brother to French 1m AW winner Big Log; dam 1m/9.4f AW winner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Debora's Dream	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Galloping On	5/2	3	3	3	3
Eastern Dream	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Formidable Force	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Alvesta	12	12	12	12	12
Reine Des Coeurs	20	22	22	22	22
King Street	25	20	20	22	22
Wide Margin	25	22	22	22	22
Viridian	33	33	33	33	33
Road To Wembley	50	40	50	50	40
Away Day	200	150	150	150	100
Harlington	250	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Debora's Dream

25.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Galloping On

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Formidable Force

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Eastern Dream

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Alvesta

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

King Street

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Reine Des Coeurs

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Wide Margin

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Viridian

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Road To Wembley

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Away Day

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Harlington

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Debora's Dream	80	88	76
Galloping On	—	81	66
Eastern Dream	—	—	—
Formidable Force	—	71	—
Alvesta	—	—	—
Reine Des Coeurs	—	—	—
King Street	—	83	44
Wide Margin	—	73	42
Viridian	—	60	13
Road To Wembley	—	58	26
Away Day	—	45	—
Harlington	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Street	12d ago	Quick return
Wide Margin	12d ago	Quick return
Away Day	12d ago	Quick return
Debora's Dream	13d ago	Quick return
Viridian	15d ago	Fit
Galloping On	19d ago	Fit
Road To Wembley	21d ago	Fit
Formidable Force	95d ago	Long break
Eastern Dream	—	—
Alvesta	—	—
Reine Des Coeurs	—	—
Harlington	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
King Street	Prominent
Wide Margin	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.