Set Deposit Limits At BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:15

Set Deposit Limits At BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 12.06s (slow by 1.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Silvretta (GB) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	2/9F	Won
2nd	Willow Baby (IRE) Gianluca Sanna · Jason Ward	9/1	2
3rd	Margot Robbie (GB) Harry Russell · Geoff Oldroyd	12/1	3.5
4th	Leap Day (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	11/2	2
5th	La Jolie Fille (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	33/1	5
6th	Ank Marvin (GB) Shane Gray · Colin Teague	300/1	10
7th	Look For A Day (GB) Gina Mangan · Sarah Hollinshead	50/1	2.25
8th	Muddy Marvellous (GB) Ben Robinson · Seb Spencer	250/1	14

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Silvretta Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	128	h	82-22	79	93	71	36d	—	—	-39	27.3	0.06/1	1/4 80%
Runner-up on her last three starts; sets benchmark on all known form; the logical choice.
2 (6)	Leap Day Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	133	—	33625	75	79	42	157d	—	—	+1	15.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Off for five months, but has shown enough previously (turf & AW) to have a chance.
8 (7)	Willow Baby Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:Jason Ward	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:Jason Ward	128	—	032	56	74	-	46d	—	—	+2	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No match for winner over C&D (beaten 4l) last time; may have to settle for minor honours.
6 (3)	Margot Robbie Bay J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	128	v	—	-	52	25	266d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Well beaten on Southwell debut in February; withdrawn in Sept (stalls issues); visored
4 (1)	La Jolie Fille Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	128	—	45	-	60	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Soundly beaten both starts; AW switch may yield upturn in fortunes; probably needs time
5 (4)	Look For A Day Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Fifth foal from unraced dam; half-sister to two winners, inc Secret Glance (6f-7f; RPR 84)
1 (2)	Ank Marvin Bay J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	133	b	8/6-80	25	24	-	15d	—	—	0	0.1	74.75/1	300 0%
Lowly rated and has shown nothing so far; blinkers go on; seek the solution elsewhere.
3 (5)	Muddy Marvellous Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Seb Spencer	J:Ben Robinson T:Seb Spencer	133	—	94	-	36	-	7d	—	—	0	0.1	62.25/1	250 0%
Yet to beat a rival, inc when toiling over 7f here (150-1) last week; handicapping awaits.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Silvretta	1/4	2/9
Leap Day	11/2	11/2
Willow Baby	17/2	9
Margot Robbie	12	14
La Jolie Fille	33	28
Look For A Day	100	40
Ank Marvin	300	250
Muddy Marvellous	250	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Silvretta

27.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

1/4

2nd

Leap Day

15.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Willow Baby

11.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Margot Robbie

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

La Jolie Fille

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Look For A Day

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ank Marvin

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300

Muddy Marvellous

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silvretta	79	93	71
Leap Day	75	79	42
Willow Baby	56	74	—
Ank Marvin	25	24	—
Margot Robbie	—	52	25
La Jolie Fille	—	60	—
Look For A Day	—	—	—
Muddy Marvellous	—	36	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Muddy Marvellous	7d ago	Quick return
Ank Marvin	15d ago	Fit
La Jolie Fille	24d ago	Fit
Silvretta	36d ago	Fit
Willow Baby	46d ago	Fresh
Leap Day	157d ago	Long break
Margot Robbie	266d ago	Long break
Look For A Day	—	—