Lycetts Insurance Brokers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Stayers' Series Qual')

Cheltenham

13:10

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,562

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Uncle Bert Bay J:James Turner(10) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(10) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	166	—	41P-14	125	132	110	34d	—	—	+7	23.8	0.75/1	4 25%
Improved this season and back on a good mark with James Turner taking off 10lb
11	White Rhino Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	159	—	1112-1	118	130	111	29d	—	—	+18	30.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Up in the weights but 4-5 in handicaps and difficult to gauge the ceiling of his ability
3	Doughmore Bay Bay J:Joe Anderson T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson T:Emma Lavelle	165	—	F-12	124	129	109	36d	—	—	+11	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lightly raced novice winner who is dangerously unexposed now into handicaps
17	Gentle And Kind Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	157	—	31/21	116	122	105	89d	—	—	+10	19.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Tramore maiden winner who could be on a useful mark; lightly raced as well
12	Fathom Two Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(8) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Patrick M O'Brien(8) T:Gavin Cromwell	158	t	327313	117	132	104	42d	—	—	+22	31.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Irish raider who looks progressive and proven on undulating tracks; respected
7	Off To A Flyer Bay J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	161	—	632P1-	120	129	111	210d	—	—	+24	32.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Could need this first run back and chasing is reportedly on the agenda
10	Pinnacle Peak Bay J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	159	p	63-141	118	131	110	21d	—	—	+12	18.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Bang-in-form 8yo who won decisively here last time; some doubts about softer ground
2	Skytastic Bay J:Beau Morgan(3) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(3) T:Ben Pauling	165	—	0/4P4-	124	130	-	233d	—	—	+14	20.1	3.75/1	16 6%
He's on a handy mark if as good as he was; joined this outfit for £30,000
4	American Sniper Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:David Pipe	J:Fergus Gillard T:David Pipe	163	tp	263-70	122	132	107	20d	—	—	+14	19.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Inconsistent as a novice last season and it's been a slow start to this campaign
16	Knockanore Bay J:Ned Fox T:Ryan Potter	J:Ned Fox T:Ryan Potter	158	p	P371-3	117	127	116	19d	—	—	+17	20.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Front-running third at Aintree behind a well-handicapped winner; same mark here
13	Arabian King Chestnut J:Danny Gilligan T:Cian Collins	J:Danny Gilligan T:Cian Collins	158	t	5-6875	117	127	93	21d	—	—	+14	17.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Only 1lb lower than when fifth behind Pinnacle Peak here three weeks ago
20	Paricolor Bay J:Gearoid Harney(8) T:David Pipe	J:Gearoid Harney(8) T:David Pipe	156	tb	3256P-	115	134	114	—	—	—	+14	18.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Last jumps season did not end well; tailed off on the Flat only two weeks ago
9	Whatsupwithyou Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Ben Pauling	J:Liam Harrison T:Ben Pauling	160	tp	224-34	119	131	93	26d	—	—	+15	18	8.00/1	33 3%
Comeback run was underwhelming, even if that was needed; others preferred
19	Hauraki Gulf Bay J:Chris Ward T:Deborah Cole	J:Chris Ward T:Deborah Cole	157	—	/222-2	116	125	115	200d	—	—	+19	22.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Consistent in defeat over hurdles; possible improver now into handicaps
5	Skradin Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(3) T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(3) T:Conor O'Dwyer	162	—	-42416	121	123	91	12d	—	—	+24	27.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Can race keenly and he dropped out to be sixth on his handicap debut at Cork
15	High Stakes Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Warren Greatrex	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Warren Greatrex	158	—	38357-	117	129	63	291d	—	—	+16	19.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Useful form as a novice hurdler but lost his way last season, predominantly over fences
8	Takarengo Bay J:Jack Foley T:Thomas Mullins	J:Jack Foley T:Thomas Mullins	161	p	235633	120	128	59	19d	—	—	+21	24	8.00/1	33 3%
Running well and won't mind returning to hurdles, but he's hard to win with
6	Prince Zaltar Bay J:P J O'Hanlon T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon T:P J Rothwell	162	t	12-154	121	119	91	119d	—	—	+16	18.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Dual 2m4f winner this year in Ireland; others might be better handicapped
14	Son Of The Somme Bay J:Lewis Dobb(3) T:Brian Ellison	J:Lewis Dobb(3) T:Brian Ellison	158	b	316-P3	117	130	79	13d	—	—	+15	17.3	16.25/1	66 2%
Good third at Ayr but had no excuses and this mark is challenging
18	Foillan Bay J:Daniel King T:Patrick Neville	J:Daniel King T:Patrick Neville	157	—	71/PF-	116	-	-	356d	—	—	+15	16.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Failed to complete in two chases last winter for his previous yard and absent since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Uncle Bert	4	4	4	4	4
White Rhino	13/2	6	6	6	6
Doughmore Bay	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Gentle And Kind	8	8	8	8	15/2
Fathom Two	8	8	9	8	8/1
Off To A Flyer	10	9	9	9	9
Pinnacle Peak	12	11	11	11/1	12
Skytastic	16	16	16	16	16
American Sniper	16	16	14	16	16
Knockanore	18	20	20	20	22
Arabian King	20	22	22	22	22
Paricolor	18	18	18	18	18
Whatsupwithyou	33	33	28	33	33
Hauraki Gulf	40	28	25	33/1	33/1
Skradin	28	28	33/1	28	28/1
High Stakes	25	25	22	25	25
Takarengo	33	33	33	33	33
Prince Zaltar	40	33	33	33	33
Son Of The Somme	66	50	50/1	50/1	50
Foillan	100	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Off To A Flyer

32.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Fathom Two

31.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.7

3rd

White Rhino

30.6

OR: 17 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Skradin

27.2

OR: 17.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Takarengo

OR: 17.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 0.8

Uncle Bert

23.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Hauraki Gulf

22.3

OR: 16.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Doughmore Bay

21.6

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Knockanore

20.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Skytastic

20.1

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

High Stakes

19.7

OR: 16.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

American Sniper

19.4

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Gentle And Kind

19.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Pinnacle Peak

18.9

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Prince Zaltar

18.3

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Paricolor

18.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

Whatsupwithyou

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Arabian King

17.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Son Of The Somme

17.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Foillan

16.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Uncle Bert	125	132	110
Doughmore Bay	124	129	109
Skytastic	124	130	—
American Sniper	122	132	107
Skradin	121	123	91
Prince Zaltar	121	119	91
Off To A Flyer	120	129	111
Takarengo	120	128	59
Whatsupwithyou	119	131	93
White Rhino	118	130	111
Pinnacle Peak	118	131	110
Fathom Two	117	132	104
Knockanore	117	127	116
Arabian King	117	127	93
High Stakes	117	129	63
Son Of The Somme	117	130	79
Gentle And Kind	116	122	105
Hauraki Gulf	116	125	115
Foillan	116	—	—
Paricolor	115	134	114

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Skradin	12d ago	Quick return
Son Of The Somme	13d ago	Quick return
Knockanore	19d ago	Fit
Takarengo	19d ago	Fit
American Sniper	20d ago	Fit
Pinnacle Peak	21d ago	Fit
Arabian King	21d ago	Fit
Whatsupwithyou	26d ago	Fit
White Rhino	29d ago	Fit
Uncle Bert	34d ago	Fit
Doughmore Bay	36d ago	Fit
Fathom Two	42d ago	Fit
Gentle And Kind	89d ago	Fresh
Prince Zaltar	119d ago	Long break
Hauraki Gulf	200d ago	Long break
Off To A Flyer	210d ago	Long break
Skytastic	233d ago	Long break
High Stakes	291d ago	Long break
Foillan	356d ago	Long break
Paricolor	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Fathom Two	Prominent
Skradin	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 20 runners classified.