Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:52

Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 59.57s (slow by 2.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mart (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Dylan Cunha	6/1	Won
2nd	Wichahpi (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	7/2J	.75
3rd	The Liegeman (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	9/2	0.2
4th	Lotting's Lass (IRE) Jason Hart · John Quinn	8/1	0.1
5th	Gloves (IRE) Hayley Turner · George Boughey	7/2J	0.2
6th	Pinpoint (GB) P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	40/1	0.3
7th	Horse Whisperer (IRE) Adam Farragher · Chris Dwyer	7/1	1
8th	Torvar (IRE) David Egan · David O'Meara	12/1	.5
9th	Musical Diva (IRE) Franny Norton · David O'Meara	25/1	0.3
10th	Gogo Yubari (GB) Clifford Lee · Amy Murphy	20/1	1.75
11th	Miss Rainstorm (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Tracy Waggott	50/1	.75
12th	Desert Master (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	50/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Gloves Bay J:Hayley Turner T:George Boughey	J:Hayley Turner T:George Boughey	135	t	843	63	68	54	22d	—	—	-9	12.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Looks a likely big improver now handicapping at a low level in a new tongue tie
3 (10)	The Liegeman Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	135	—	664	63	68	37	35d	—	—	-9	8.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Gelded following latest run and he moves into handicaps with untapped potential
5 (12)	Wichahpi Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	134	p	601813	62	72	62	10d	—	—	+6	20	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won two of her last four (both 6f); good third over 6f here latest; big player back at 5f
1 (1)	Mart Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	456681	63	71	47	21d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	+2	17.7	1.00/1	5 20%
Off the mark over 6f 3 weeks ago; well placed there and more will be required to follow up
6 (8)	Horse Whisperer Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Chris Dwyer	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Chris Dwyer	134	—	661265	62	69	43	21d	—	—	+1	11.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Turf winner in August; too keen over 6f last time but stayed on late; one to consider
10 (11)	Lotting's Lass Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	123	—	665135	51	70	49	28d	—	—	+1	9.7	2.00/1	9 11%
On the up in recent starts; she should remain competitive under suitable conditions
9 (2)	Torvar Chestnut J:David Egan T:David O'Meara	J:David Egan T:David O'Meara	131	p	554353	59	71	57	14d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Placed twice at this track but he'll need a career best if he's to make it 11th time lucky
11 (9)	Musical Diva Bay J:Franny Norton T:David O'Meara	J:Franny Norton T:David O'Meara	120	v	565884	48	70	46	14d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
No significant progress in handicaps and others have more pressing claims
7 (7)	Gogo Yubari Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	134	tp	7476	62	60	36	15d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+1	3.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Disappointed over C&D on recent nursery debut; cheekpieces now added
8 (3)	Pinpoint Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	133	—	713232	61	68	66	45d	—	—	+12	16.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Placed all 4 runs following Bath win in August (5f); sold 14,000gns last month; needs more
2 (5)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	—	236537	63	71	46	24d	—	—	+4	6.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Exposed maiden; drops in class on second stable start but others are more appealing
12 (4)	Miss Rainstorm Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tracy Waggott	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tracy Waggott	119	—	090689	47	69	-	67d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
No improvement for the switch to nurseries as yet; others have much stronger claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gloves	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	3
The Liegeman	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
Wichahpi	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mart	5	5	5	5	5
Horse Whisperer	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Lotting's Lass	9	9	9	9	9
Torvar	10	11	11	11	11
Musical Diva	25	25	22	25	25
Gogo Yubari	28	28	25	28	28
Pinpoint	25	22	20	22	22
Desert Master	33	33	28	33	33
Miss Rainstorm	150	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wichahpi

OR: 3 Form: 13 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Mart

17.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

3rd

Pinpoint

16.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.1

Gloves

12.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Horse Whisperer

11.4

OR: 3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Lotting's Lass

9.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.4

Torvar

8.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

The Liegeman

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Desert Master

6.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.8

Gogo Yubari

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Musical Diva

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Miss Rainstorm

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gloves	63	68	54
The Liegeman	63	68	37
Mart	63	71	47
Desert Master	63	71	46
Wichahpi	62	72	62
Horse Whisperer	62	69	43
Gogo Yubari	62	60	36
Pinpoint	61	68	66
Torvar	59	71	57
Lotting's Lass	51	70	49
Musical Diva	48	70	46
Miss Rainstorm	47	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wichahpi	10d ago	Quick return
Torvar	14d ago	Fit
Musical Diva	14d ago	Fit
Gogo Yubari	15d ago	Fit
Mart	21d ago	Fit
Horse Whisperer	21d ago	Fit
Gloves	22d ago	Fit
Desert Master	24d ago	Fit
Lotting's Lass	28d ago	Fit
The Liegeman	35d ago	Fit
Pinpoint	45d ago	Fit
Miss Rainstorm	67d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Wichahpi	Prominent
Musical Diva	Mid-Pack
Torvar	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.