BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,562

Winning Time 1m 14.63s (slow by 4.23s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lou Lou's Gift (GB) Richard Kingscote · William Haggas	6/4F	Won
2nd	Neapolitan (FR) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	5/2	1
3rd	Front Gunner (IRE) Tom Eaves · Ann Duffield	28/1	0.3
4th	Callianassa (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	4/1	1
5th	Musical Touch (IRE) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	15/2	1.25
6th	Wait And Hope (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	8/1	5
7th	Our Neil (GB) Faye McManoman · Brian Ellison	200/1	4.75

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Lou Lou's Gift Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:William Haggas	J:Richard Kingscote T:William Haggas	125	ht	32	-	95	50	17d	—	—	-17	18.5	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Failed to settle when a promising second over C&D latest; headgear goes on; big player.
1 (2)	Neapolitan Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	t	612	87	92	59	17d	—	—	0	30.7	0.44/1	7/4 36%
6f Polytrack winner; went close (7f) latest and is much respected dropping back in trip.
5 (5)	Callianassa Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	125	—	602753	77	94	79	8d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
1l third in a C&D nursery last week; returning to novice company, she could go close.
3 (7)	Musical Touch Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
105,000euros yearling; dam French 1m and 9.5f winner; major yard and needs a market check.
4 (6)	Wait And Hope Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	130	—	54	-	75	67	8d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Needs to step up significantly on two promising runs to have any chance in this field.
2 (1)	Front Gunner Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Ann Duffield	J:Tom Eaves T:Ann Duffield	130	—	4	-	82	64	9d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Promising debut here (5f) recently; will need to improve on that to be a contender.
NR (8)	Sassy Soprano Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ann Duffield	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ann Duffield	125	—	07	-	60	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Well beaten over 6f in both starts; watching brief advised.
7 (4)	Our Neil Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Ellison	J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Ellison	125	—	04	-	68	22	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Improved on a moderate debut when tried over C&D latest but will need much more than that.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lou Lou's Gift	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Neapolitan	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8
Callianassa	7	13/2	13/2	7	15/2
Musical Touch	15/2	7	7/1	7/1	15/2
Wait And Hope	12	11/1	12	12	11
Front Gunner	33	25	28/1	28/1	22
Sassy Soprano	100	100	SP	100	SP
Our Neil	125	150/1	150/1	125/1	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Neapolitan

30.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 12 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Lou Lou's Gift

18.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 11.4

6/4

3rd

Callianassa

14.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Musical Touch

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Wait And Hope

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Front Gunner

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Sassy Soprano

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Our Neil

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Neapolitan	87	92	59
Callianassa	77	94	79
Lou Lou's Gift	—	95	50
Musical Touch	—	—	—
Wait And Hope	—	75	67
Front Gunner	—	82	64
Sassy Soprano	—	60	—
Our Neil	—	68	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Callianassa	8d ago	Quick return
Wait And Hope	8d ago	Quick return
Front Gunner	9d ago	Quick return
Lou Lou's Gift	17d ago	Fit
Neapolitan	17d ago	Fit
Sassy Soprano	17d ago	Fit
Our Neil	19d ago	Fit
Musical Touch	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.