Exeter Mares' Novices' Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)

Exeter

3:00

Date 2023-11-20

Distance 2m1f109y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £16,881

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Law Ella b J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	156	t	421-01	-	132	95	32d	—	—	-16	6.7	11/4 27%
Won comfortably on chase debut and could have more to offer for her top Irish trainer
4	Lady Adare b J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	156	t	20-312	134	146	125	9d	—	—	+5	27.7	7/2 22%
Runner-up in Grade 2 novice at Wincanton recently and holds leading form claims
8	Nurse Susan ch J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	1124/	127	-	-	613d	—	—	+17	36.5	7/2 22%
Returns from long absence but in top hands & she was a promising novice hurdler in 2021-22
9	Arclight b J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	148	—	1288-1	124	136	97	29d	—	—	+15	34.2	9/2 18%
Won on chase debut and benefits from valuable 4yo allowance; could be in the mix
2	Endless Escape b J:Ben Jones T:Ben Clarke	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Clarke	156	t	11117-	126	-	-	249d	—	—	+30	38.4	9/1 10%
4-4 over hurdles before creditable seventh at Cheltenham; brings potential to chase debut
3	Galice Macalo b J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	156	t	4509-3	118	136	123	39d	—	—	+16	21.6	16 6%
Third to Lady Adare on 2m4f chase debut and could benefit from the drop back in trip
1	Carole's Pass b J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	156	—	1465-3	-	-	-	195d	—	—	0	4.2	18/1 5%
Talented over hurdles and open to further improvement, but it's needed on this chase debut
NR	Marsh Wren b J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	156	—	1/191-	122	-	-	233d	—	—	+19	27.3	25 4%
4-8 over hurdles; further improvement needed on chase debut but it's not ruled out
10	Inspiratrice gr J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nicky Martin	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nicky Martin	148	h	1U30-4	110	126	83	39d	—	—	+13	15.8	40/1 2%
Soundly beaten fourth behind two of these on chase debut and she's up against it
7	Mayhem Mya b J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	156	—	4217-4	115	123	75	203d	—	—	+15	16.7	66 2%
Two-time hurdle winner but others were better in that sphere; well beaten on chase debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Law Ella	11/4	11/4	3	11/4	11/4
Lady Adare	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Nurse Susan	3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Arclight	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Endless Escape	9	17/2	9	9/1	9/1
Galice Macalo	14	16	16	16	16
Carole's Pass	18	18	18	18	18/1
Marsh Wren	20	25	25	25	25
Inspiratrice	28	40	40	40/1	40/1
Mayhem Mya	66	40	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Endless Escape

38.4

OR: 19 Form: 17 Odds: 2.4

9/1

2nd

Nurse Susan

36.5

OR: 19.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Arclight

34.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Lady Adare

27.7

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Marsh Wren

27.3

OR: 18 Form: 7 Odds: 2.3

Galice Macalo

21.6

OR: 17 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Mayhem Mya

16.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Inspiratrice

15.8

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Law Ella

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Carole's Pass

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Adare Top Rated	134	146	125
Nurse Susan	127	—	—
Endless Escape	126	—	—
Arclight	124	136	97
Marsh Wren	122	—	—
Galice Macalo	118	136	123
Mayhem Mya	115	123	75
Inspiratrice	110	126	83
Law Ella	—	132	95
Carole's Pass	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Adare	9d ago	Quick return
Arclight	29d ago	Fit
Law Ella	32d ago	Fit
Galice Macalo	39d ago	Fit
Inspiratrice	39d ago	Fit
Carole's Pass	195d ago	Long break
Mayhem Mya	203d ago	Long break
Marsh Wren	233d ago	Long break
Endless Escape	249d ago	Long break
Nurse Susan	613d ago	Long break