Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap (Div II) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

8:30

Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-11-20

Distance 1m3f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (2)	Largo Bay ch J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	131	—	443783	53	76	40	33d	—	—	-11	11.3	10/3 23%
Close third over C&D last month; now a stone below last winning mark; major player
1 (3)	Dotties Star b J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	138	—	864452	60	70	19	28d	—	—	-3	11.5	11/2 15%
Clear second at Windsor last month, signalling that his turn may be near; one to consider
7 (9)	Churchill Rose b J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	130	p	573162	57	65	52	24d	—	—	+4	16	11/2 15%
In-form 3yo; close second at Lingfield most recently; holds solid claims
5 (4)	Velvet Vulcan b J:Billy Loughnane T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	—	5-7436	54	69	60	16d	—	—	-8	4.6	13/2 13%
Unexposed maiden whose handicap form at 1m2f/1m4f is encouraging; respected
14 (13)	Trackman b J:Luke Morris T:Simon Pearce	J:Luke Morris T:Simon Pearce	119	—	0-0034	46	65	-	35d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Unexposed 3yo who posted a promising effort on sole AW attempt (penultimate start)
3 (5)	Mitigator b J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	136	b	92-925	58	72	57	16d	—	—	-5	4.9	7 14%
Best recent effort came over 1m; won over 1m3f here last year for previous yard
2 (1)	Lost In Time b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	136	p	535V46	58	70	44	13d	—	—	-3	4.7	11 9%
0-15 on AW but latest effort (1m2f) suggests this new trip is worth exploring
9 (12)	Philos ch J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	127	v	211639	54	65	44	14d	—	—	+4	9.5	20 5%
Inconsistent since his two wins; good run is possible if he takes well to new headgear
11 (10)	Gilbert b J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	126	tp	856236	48	68	-	32d	—	—	+1	5.8	20/1 5%
Has won on AW but lacks consistency in this sphere (form figures read 7190)
13 (6)	A Touch Of Silver ch J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Joseph Parr	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Joseph Parr	122	—	750	49	61	14	23d	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Pedigree suggests she's a possible improver upped to 1m4f on handicap debut
4 (11)	Perthshire b J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	133	—	67246/	55	-	-	797d	—	—	+2	4.5	33 3%
Maiden who has been absent for over two years; market should prove best guide
10 (14)	Savoy Brown b J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	126	—	217060	48	68	57	59d	—	—	0	2.7	40/1 2%
Has produced poor results since returned to handicap level
8 (8)	Sir Cilia b J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Matt Crawley	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Matt Crawley	128	—	700	55	59	16	23d	—	—	0	1.8	40 3%
Brings weak form claims to this handicap debut
12 (7)	Broadshare gr J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	124	—	0-9000	46	-	-	145d	—	—	-1	0.4	125 1%
No form claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Largo Bay	3	3	10/3	3	3
Dotties Star	11/2	9/2	5	9/2	5
Churchill Rose	6	6	11/2	6	6
Velvet Vulcan	6	13/2	13/2	6	6
Trackman	13/2	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Mitigator	7	7	7	7	7
Lost In Time	11	10	10	10	11
Philos	14	20	18	14	20
Gilbert	18	18	16	16	20/1
A Touch Of Silver	20	22	22	22	25/1
Perthshire	33	33	33	33	33
Savoy Brown	40	40	40	40/1	40
Sir Cilia	40	40	33	40	40
Broadshare	125	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Churchill Rose

OR: 1.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Dotties Star

11.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Largo Bay

11.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.9 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Philos

9.5

OR: 1 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.4

Gilbert

5.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Mitigator

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Lost In Time

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

Velvet Vulcan

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Perthshire

4.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.7

Trackman

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Savoy Brown

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sir Cilia

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

A Touch Of Silver

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Broadshare

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dotties Star Top Rated	60	70	19
Mitigator	58	72	57
Lost In Time	58	70	44
Churchill Rose	57	65	52
Perthshire	55	—	—
Sir Cilia	55	59	16
Velvet Vulcan	54	69	60
Philos	54	65	44
Largo Bay	53	76	40
A Touch Of Silver	49	61	14
Gilbert	48	68	—
Savoy Brown	48	68	57
Trackman	46	65	—
Broadshare	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lost In Time	13d ago	Quick return
Philos	14d ago	Fit
Velvet Vulcan	16d ago	Fit
Mitigator	16d ago	Fit
A Touch Of Silver	23d ago	Fit
Sir Cilia	23d ago	Fit
Churchill Rose	24d ago	Fit
Dotties Star	28d ago	Fit
Gilbert	32d ago	Fit
Largo Bay	33d ago	Fit
Trackman	35d ago	Fit
Savoy Brown	59d ago	Fresh
Broadshare	145d ago	Long break
Perthshire	797d ago	Long break