Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Date 2023-12-08

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 59.50s (slow by 2.00s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sports Coach (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	9/4J	Won
2nd	El Bufalo (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Dylan Cunha	16/5	1.25
3rd	Photosynthesis (IRE) David Egan · Tom Clover	9/4J	0.3
4th	Cast No Shadow (GB) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	5/1	1.25
5th	Lettuce Leaf (GB) Joanna Mason · Tom Tate	22/1	1.5
6th	Exponential (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	80/1	5.5
7th	Mariners Way (GB) Clifford Lee · Julie Camacho	22/1	2.25
8th	Sir Garfield (IRE) Dale Swift · John Quinn	33/1	1.5
9th	Warrendale Wagyu (GB) James Sullivan · John Quinn	66/1	.5
10th	Toy Boy (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	33/1	.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Sports Coach Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	130	—	3	-	86	69	28d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.25/1	2 50%
Third on his debut over C&D four weeks ago; open to improvement with outing under his belt
1 (9)	Photosynthesis Bay J:David Egan T:Tom Clover	J:David Egan T:Tom Clover	133	—	015	83	90	-	41d	—	—	0	21.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Navan winner in October but held in Listed company last time; respected on stable/AW debut
6 (10)	El Bufalo Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Stable wouldn't be a noted source of winning 2yo newcomers
5 (5)	Cast No Shadow Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	642	77	92	75	28d	—	—	0	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beaten a short head on his third start over C&D last time; major player
9 (7)	Mariners Way Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Clifford Lee T:Julie Camacho	125	—	5	-	80	-	28d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Green when fifth on her debut over 6f here last month; improvement needed
10 (8)	Lettuce Leaf Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Tom Tate	J:Joanna Mason T:Tom Tate	121	—	44	-	83	-	38d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
First start was much better than the second; half-sister to a few AW winners
2 (6)	Sir Garfield Bay J:Dale Swift T:John Quinn	J:Dale Swift T:John Quinn	130	—	6	-	75	65	27d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Sixth of eight on his debut here (6f) last month; may be one for handicaps in due course
4 (3)	Warrendale Wagyu Bay J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	130	—	5	-	75	45	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Pulled hard when fifth on his Wolverhampton debut last month; should improve
7 (2)	Toy Boy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Something to like on pedigree and stable can get them ready first time; market useful
8 (1)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Has an attractive pedigree and stable can get one ready first time; watch market

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sports Coach	2	2	2	2	2
Photosynthesis	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
El Bufalo	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	4
Cast No Shadow	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Mariners Way	16	16	16	16	16
Lettuce Leaf	28	28	25	28	28
Sir Garfield	33	25	25	28	28
Warrendale Wagyu	33	33	33	33	40
Toy Boy	40	40	33	40	33
Exponential	80	66	66	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Photosynthesis

21.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Cast No Shadow

16.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Sports Coach

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

El Bufalo

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Mariners Way

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Sir Garfield

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lettuce Leaf

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Warrendale Wagyu

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Toy Boy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Exponential

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Photosynthesis	83	90	—
Cast No Shadow	77	92	75
Sports Coach	—	86	69
El Bufalo	—	—	—
Mariners Way	—	80	—
Lettuce Leaf	—	83	—
Sir Garfield	—	75	65
Warrendale Wagyu	—	75	45
Toy Boy	—	—	—
Exponential	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Warrendale Wagyu	17d ago	Fit
Sir Garfield	27d ago	Fit
Sports Coach	28d ago	Fit
Cast No Shadow	28d ago	Fit
Mariners Way	28d ago	Fit
Lettuce Leaf	38d ago	Fit
Photosynthesis	41d ago	Fit
El Bufalo	—	—
Toy Boy	—	—
Exponential	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.