Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:05

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-12-09

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (4)	Fariha b J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	121	p	7062	61	85	36	22d	—	—	-17	19.2	15/8 35%
Big improvement when going very close on her nursery debut over C&D last month; key player
4 (7)	Enpassant ch J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	h	393322	73	83	66	32d	—	—	-2	24.7	9/4 31%
First past the post over C&D before a close second at Lingfield (1m) last time; big player
2 (3)	Never Fear ch J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	17551	76	84	74	25d	—	—	+9	22.5	11/2 15%
Made it 2-3 on Tapeta when scoring at Wolverhampton last month; respected up 4lb
1 (5)	Callianassa b J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	136	—	027534	76	83	68	20d	—	—	+3	12.1	17/2 11%
0-8 but she still has potential and looks interesting back in a nursery at this new trip
6 (1)	Game Management b J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	625	72	79	-	73d	—	—	+4	10.9	14 7%
Unexposed nursery newcomer but he needs to kick on again to defy this mark
7 (6)	Petra Celera b J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	131	—	130701	71	82	56	21d	—	—	+11	17.6	12/1 8%
Finished well to cause a 40-1 surprise at Wolverhampton last time; respected upped to 7f
3 (8)	Leveret b J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	133	—	237	73	83	43	16d	—	—	+8	11.3	25 4%
Nursery newcomer but she was disappointing when upped to 7f last time; others preferred
5 (2)	Valadero ch J:Callum Shepherd T:Darryll Holland	J:Callum Shepherd T:Darryll Holland	132	p	224398	72	74	27	38d	—	—	+5	9	28/1 3%
Went close in first two runs in April but he's been disappointing since; plenty to prove
8 (10)	Flying Fletcher gr J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	0396	70	82	-	64d	—	—	+4	7.4	33 3%
Struggled in last two runs and needs a transformation back at 7f on nursery debut
10 (9)	Chat Up Line b J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	118	h	443676	58	75	69	15d	—	—	+2	3.4	66/1 1%
Record of 1-11 and she's been held in last six runs; hood returns at this new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fariha	7/4	2	2	2	15/8
Enpassant	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Never Fear	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Callianassa	8	15/2	8	8	17/2
Game Management	14	11	11	11	12/1
Petra Celera	12	12	12	12	12/1
Leveret	25	20/1	20	22	22
Valadero	28/1	28/1	25	28/1	28
Flying Fletcher	33	33	28	28/1	28
Chat Up Line	66/1	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Enpassant

24.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Never Fear

22.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 12 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Fariha

19.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

15/8

Petra Celera

17.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Callianassa

12.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Leveret

11.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1

Game Management

10.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Valadero

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Flying Fletcher

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Chat Up Line

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Never Fear Top Rated	76	84	74
Callianassa	76	83	68
Enpassant	73	83	66
Leveret	73	83	43
Game Management	72	79	—
Valadero	72	74	27
Petra Celera	71	82	56
Flying Fletcher	70	82	—
Fariha	61	85	36
Chat Up Line	58	75	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chat Up Line	15d ago	Fit
Leveret	16d ago	Fit
Callianassa	20d ago	Fit
Petra Celera	21d ago	Fit
Fariha	22d ago	Fit
Never Fear	25d ago	Fit
Enpassant	32d ago	Fit
Valadero	38d ago	Fit
Flying Fletcher	64d ago	Fresh
Game Management	73d ago	Fresh