Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

6:45

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-12-09

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (11)	Amaysmont b J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	133	—	740974	63	85	-	129d	—	—	-11	9.4	10/3 23%
Has struggled for this yard but has dropped to a dangerous mark; best on AW
1 (12)	Maxzeno b J:P J McDonald T:Michael Appleby	J:P J McDonald T:Michael Appleby	135	t	527545	65	82	57	23d	—	—	-6	9.2	9/2 18%
Respectable the last twice; unraced over this far but it's worth a go
10 (6)	Code Purple b J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	131	—	206558	61	76	60	37d	—	—	-6	6.4	11/2 15%
Returning to 7f a plus but doesn't seem in the best of form judged on recent efforts
3 (7)	Berkshire Phantom gr J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	134	p	080896	64	72	13	60d	—	—	-3	6	15/2 12%
Useful for Andrew Balding earlier this year but the wheels have come off big time
9 (3)	Jems Bond ch J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	132	p	313747	62	79	72	194d	—	—	-1	8.4	17/2 11%
Absent since May but usually gives his running here and handicap mark isn't a problem
6 (8)	Fiftyshadesofred b J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	133	hp	365075	63	79	51	17d	—	—	-3	5.5	10 10%
Hasn't been offering much and raced keenly in this headgear last time
4 (5)	Dandys Derriere b J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	133	tp	616120	63	78	72	103d	—	—	+9	15.7	11 9%
On a fair mark if sufficiently fit after a while off; had a wind operation
11 (9)	Plink b J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	131	—	57450	61	76	68	20d	—	—	-3	4.9	12 8%
Promising first run for this yard and suffered interference the next time
2 (4)	Bonkersinabundance b J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	134	—	166848	64	75	35	51d	—	—	0	4.9	16 6%
Dual fast-ground winner during the summer; AW record of 0-5 is none too inspiring
8 (10)	Admiral Nelson b J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	132	t	000600	62	81	33	50d	—	—	+1	3.9	25 4%
Lost his way after winning a Cork handicap in May; now with a new yard
12 (1)	Absolute Dream ch J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	129	—	071003	59	75	49	36d	—	—	+5	9.3	33 3%
Perhaps committed a shade early over C&D last time and was mowed down by late arrivals
7 (2)	Miss Britain b J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	132	—	487050	62	79	37	20d	—	—	+1	3.7	33 3%
Has essentially become disappointing, last time beating one home here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Amaysmont	3	10/3	11/4	16/5	3
Maxzeno	4	4	4	4	9/2
Code Purple	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Berkshire Phantom	8	8	15/2	8	8
Jems Bond	9	17/2	8	17/2	9
Fiftyshadesofred	10	9	17/2	9/1	10
Dandys Derriere	11	10	10	11	11
Plink	12	12	12	12	12
Bonkersinabundance	16	16	14	16	16
Admiral Nelson	25	25	22	25	25
Absolute Dream	33	28	25	28	22
Miss Britain	33	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dandys Derriere

15.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Amaysmont

9.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Absolute Dream

9.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

Maxzeno

9.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Jems Bond

8.4

OR: 3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Code Purple

6.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Berkshire Phantom

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Fiftyshadesofred

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Plink

4.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Bonkersinabundance

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Admiral Nelson

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Miss Britain

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maxzeno Top Rated	65	82	57
Berkshire Phantom	64	72	13
Bonkersinabundance	64	75	35
Amaysmont	63	85	—
Fiftyshadesofred	63	79	51
Dandys Derriere	63	78	72
Jems Bond	62	79	72
Admiral Nelson	62	81	33
Miss Britain	62	79	37
Code Purple	61	76	60
Plink	61	76	68
Absolute Dream	59	75	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fiftyshadesofred	17d ago	Fit
Plink	20d ago	Fit
Miss Britain	20d ago	Fit
Maxzeno	23d ago	Fit
Absolute Dream	36d ago	Fit
Code Purple	37d ago	Fit
Admiral Nelson	50d ago	Fresh
Bonkersinabundance	51d ago	Fresh
Berkshire Phantom	60d ago	Fresh
Dandys Derriere	103d ago	Long break
Amaysmont	129d ago	Long break
Jems Bond	194d ago	Long break