Betfair Henry VIII Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Sandown

13:50

Date 2023-12-09

Distance 1m7f99y

Class Class 1

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £45,774

Winning Time 4m 8.56s (slow by 18.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Le Patron (FR) David Noonan · Gary Moore	16/1	Won
2nd	Colonel Harry (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	2/1F	1.25
3rd	JPR One (IRE) Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	5/2	4.75
4th	Petit Tonnerre (FR) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	12/1	3
5th	Unexpected Party (FR) Ciaran Gethings · Dan Skelton	7/1	6

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Iceo (FR) Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	7/2

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	JPR One b/br J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	161	—	/15-1U	145	154	115	22d	—	—	+5	32.2	0.25/1	2 50%
Won nicely at Newton Abbot; would have followed up at Cheltenham but for unseating rider
1	Colonel Harry Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	161	t	1412-1	137	145	107	31d	—	—	+13	39.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Has good hurdles form at Sandown; took well to chasing at Chepstow last month; progressive
2	Iceo Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	214-13	143	155	125	49d	—	—	+10	29	0.75/1	4 25%
Beaten by JPR One last time but now meets that rival on better terms; possibilities
6	Unexpected Party Grey J:Ciaran Gethings T:Dan Skelton	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Dan Skelton	161	t	353-15	146	158	136	21d	—	—	+15	27.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Didn't quite get home in major 2m4f handicap last time; one of the main players on ratings
5	Petit Tonnerre Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	161	—	2P57-2	138	147	114	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+22	28.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Appears held by JPR One on Cheltenham running but may improve for that experience
4	Le Patron Bay J:David Noonan T:Gary Moore	J:David Noonan T:Gary Moore	161	—	330-11	133	143	106	27d	—	—	+17	22.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well ahead of the assessor in two handicaps this term, latest here; this is a harder task

Horse	bet365	Coral
JPR One	2	2
Colonel Harry	11/4	5/2
Iceo	4	4
Unexpected Party	11/2	11/2
Petit Tonnerre	12	11
Le Patron	18	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Colonel Harry

39.8

OR: 21.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

JPR One

32.2

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

3rd

Iceo

OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

Petit Tonnerre

28.7

OR: 22 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Unexpected Party

27.6

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Le Patron

22.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Unexpected Party	146	158	136
JPR One	145	154	115
Iceo	143	155	125
Petit Tonnerre	138	147	114
Colonel Harry	137	145	107
Le Patron	133	143	106

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Unexpected Party	21d ago	Fit
JPR One	22d ago	Fit
Petit Tonnerre	22d ago	Fit
Le Patron	27d ago	Fit
Colonel Harry	31d ago	Fit
Iceo	49d ago	Fresh