Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap

Southwell (AW)

15:08

Date 2023-12-21

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 15.00s (slow by 2.80s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Blue Prince (IRE) Finley Marsh · David Evans	100/30	Won
2nd	Flag Carrier (IRE) George Wood · Harry Eustace	15/2	1.25
3rd	Loaded Gun (IRE) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	11/1	.5
4th	Call Glory (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	13/2	1.5
5th	Vanity Pays (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	150/1	0.3
6th	Tsunami Spirit (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	13/8F	1.25
7th	John Steed (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	11/2	0.05
8th	Callianassa (IRE) Harry Russell · Brian Ellison	28/1	1.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Tsunami Spirit Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	—	4412	85	95	67	51d	—	—	-1	30.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Kempton winner in October; only just beaten at Catterick latest; return to 6f should suit
3 (5)	Blue Prince Bay J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	131	—	163648	81	94	77	30d	—	—	-4	13.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promising debut for this yard last month and had excuses last time; could bounce back
2 (8)	Call Glory Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	132	—	621423	82	91	85	6d	—	—	+9	22.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Dual winner for different yard earlier in year; stays this far and shouldn't be far away
8 (3)	John Steed Grey J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	119	p	734235	69	92	84	15d	—	—	+1	13.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In the frame in six of his ten starts but needs to find something extra; cheekpieces on
5 (4)	Flag Carrier Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	126	b	0234	76	93	78	42d	—	—	+4	13.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has run well in all three starts over 6f/7f on AW but he may prefer the extra furlong now
4 (6)	Loaded Gun Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	127	—	431594	77	92	72	28d	—	—	+3	13	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Chester novice winner in July and may not have stayed 7f last time; not dismissed
7 (7)	Callianassa Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	125	p	275346	75	93	79	12d	—	—	+5	8.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Should appreciate the return to 6f but is now 0-9; cheekpieces go on
6 (1)	Vanity Pays Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	125	p	572467	75	90	50	56d	—	—	+6	8.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Second three times when trained in Ireland but below form last two starts; cheekpieces now

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tsunami Spirit	7/4	13/8	13/8
Blue Prince	4/1	4/1	4/1
Call Glory	6/1	6/1	6/1
John Steed	6/1	6/1	6/1
Flag Carrier	15/2	15/2	15/2
Loaded Gun	8/1	7/1	15/2
Callianassa	20/1	22/1	22/1
Vanity Pays	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tsunami Spirit

30.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Call Glory

22.1

OR: 8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Flag Carrier

13.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Blue Prince

13.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5

4/1

John Steed

13.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.2 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Loaded Gun

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Callianassa

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Vanity Pays

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tsunami Spirit	85	95	67
Call Glory	82	91	85
Blue Prince	81	94	77
Loaded Gun	77	92	72
Flag Carrier	76	93	78
Callianassa	75	93	79
Vanity Pays	75	90	50
John Steed	69	92	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Call Glory	6d ago	Quick return
Callianassa	12d ago	Quick return
John Steed	15d ago	Fit
Loaded Gun	28d ago	Fit
Blue Prince	30d ago	Fit
Flag Carrier	42d ago	Fit
Tsunami Spirit	51d ago	Fresh
Vanity Pays	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.