BetMGM/ Irish EBF Fillies' Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Lingfield (AW)

13:25

Date 2023-12-23

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,468

Winning Time 1m 39.32s (slow by 4.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crystal Casque (GB) Jack Gilligan · Rod Millman	25/1	Won
2nd	Dayzee (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Barry Brennan	8/1	0.1
3rd	Twirling (IRE) Harry Burns · Simon & Ed Crisford	15/8F	0.2
4th	Measured Moments (GB) William Carson · John Butler	3/1	2.25
5th	Roarin' Success (GB) Trevor Whelan · Harry & Roger Charlton	2/1	1.25

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Twirling Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	—	131	87	96	63	17d	—	—	+6	35.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
2-3 in 1m Kempton novices; almost certainly capable of better again in handicaps
4 (2)	Roarin' Success Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	129	—	41-103	81	99	63	38d	—	—	-15	18.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Good third back on AW at Kempton (7f) last month; has won at 1m unlikely to be far away
5 (1)	Measured Moments Bay J:William Carson T:John Butler	J:William Carson T:John Butler	119	—	220242	70	101	92	13d	—	—	-2	20.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In good form on AW, close second at Wolverhampton latest; another bold bid seems likely
3 (5)	Dayzee Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:Barry Brennan	J:Joshua Bryan T:Barry Brennan	133	—	-11316	85	97	77	162d	—	—	+13	25.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three wins in 2023, including twice on AW; returns for a new yard after 162 days off
2 (4)	Crystal Casque Chestnut J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	134	—	717160	85	96	-	78d	—	—	+13	16.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three 1m turf wins in 2023 show she's still useful on her day; all five AW wins at Kempton

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Twirling	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Roarin' Success	7/4	13/8	13/8	15/8	13/8
Measured Moments	7/2	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3
Dayzee	13/2	15/2	15/2	13/2	7/1
Crystal Casque	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Twirling

35.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Dayzee

25.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

3rd

Measured Moments

20.2

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Roarin' Success

18.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

15/8

Crystal Casque

16.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Twirling	87	96	63
Dayzee	85	97	77
Crystal Casque	85	96	—
Roarin' Success	81	99	63
Measured Moments	70	101	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Measured Moments	13d ago	Quick return
Twirling	17d ago	Fit
Roarin' Success	38d ago	Fit
Crystal Casque	78d ago	Fresh
Dayzee	162d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.