Rand Farm Park Day Nursery Introduction Selling Handicap Hurdle

Market Rasen

12:05

Date 2023-12-26

Distance 2m125y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Winning Time 4m 6.36s (slow by 10.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Believe Jack (FR) Fergus Gregory · Olly Murphy	6/1	Won
2nd	Shetland Tony (GB) Finn Lambert · Nigel Twiston-Davies	8/13F	0.3
3rd	Wicklow Flyer (IRE) Miss Pippa Brown · John Wainwright	22/1	9
4th	Out The Glen (IRE) Oliver Boyden · Olly Murphy	8/1	2.75
5th	Fast Deal (GB) Tom Buckley · Michael Chapman	150/1	4.25
6th	Edgar Allan Poe (IRE) Liam Harrison · Sue Smith	5/1	39
7th	Kracquer (GB) Tabitha Worsley · Sarah Hollinshead	20/1	22

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Shetland Tony Bay J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	168	—	56-105	113	114	96	31d	—	—	-14	30.8	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Won novice by 18l in October; fair runs in handicaps since; chance
2	Believe Jack Bay J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	163	p	214/P4	108	110	70	36d	—	—	+2	19.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Useful 2m novice in 2021-22; off 662 days; fair run latest; player now down in grade
5	Edgar Allan Poe Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Sue Smith	J:Liam Harrison T:Sue Smith	144	—	738-P7	89	111	37	12d	—	—	+1	13.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won handicap in January; now 5lb lower but poor efforts this term; bit to prove
3	Out The Glen Bay J:Mr Oliver Boyden(7) T:Olly Murphy	J:Mr Oliver Boyden(7) T:Olly Murphy	146	tb	6-52P7	91	-	-	10d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Dual winning chaser in March 2022 (2m4f); not at his best the last twice; others stronger
4	Wicklow Flyer Bay J:Miss Pippa Brown(7) T:John Wainwright	J:Miss Pippa Brown(7) T:John Wainwright	144	p	-P89P9	89	102	88	87d	—	—	+7	10.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ex-Irish; modest efforts for current yard; well handicapped now but others look stronger
6	Kracquer Chestnut J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	142	p	06P-U6	87	96	78	151d	—	—	+7	10.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Lightly raced 9yo; mainly modest form but fair effort latest; headgear tried; a possible
7	Fast Deal Chestnut J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Michael Chapman	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Michael Chapman	142	—	8P86U-	87	-	-	—	—	—	+9	9.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
40-race maiden; 23lb out of the handicap; would be a surprise winner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shetland Tony	5/6	5/6	5/6	5/6	5/6
Believe Jack	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Edgar Allan Poe	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Out The Glen	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Wicklow Flyer	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Kracquer	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Fast Deal	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shetland Tony

30.8

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 15

5/6

2nd

Believe Jack

19.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Edgar Allan Poe

13.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Out The Glen

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Wicklow Flyer

10.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Kracquer

10.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Fast Deal

9.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shetland Tony	113	114	96
Believe Jack	108	110	70
Out The Glen	91	—	—
Edgar Allan Poe	89	111	37
Wicklow Flyer	89	102	88
Kracquer	87	96	78
Fast Deal	87	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Out The Glen	10d ago	Quick return
Edgar Allan Poe	12d ago	Quick return
Shetland Tony	31d ago	Fit
Believe Jack	36d ago	Fit
Wicklow Flyer	87d ago	Fresh
Kracquer	151d ago	Long break
Fast Deal	—	—