Sky Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Catterick

14:15

Date 2023-12-28

Distance 1m7f156y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 4m 4.60s (slow by 26.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lavida Adiva (IRE) Jamie Hamilton · Ruth Jefferson	6/5F	Won
2nd	Parkin Fine (GB) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	2/1	25
3rd	Purple Gown (IRE) Derek Fox · Adam Nicol	40/1	4.75
4th	Brief Statement (IRE) Craig Nichol · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	18/1	21
5th	Milltown Lily (IRE) Emma Smith-Chaston · Micky Hammond	66/1	28

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Alanine (GB) Sean Quinlan · John Davies	250/1
P.U.	Izzy Bell (GB) Conor Rabbitt · Maurice Barnes	125/1
U.R.	Miss Applejack (GB) Lilly Pinchin · Charlie Longsdon	16/1
P.U.	Sister Julienne (GB) Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	8/1
Fell	Strong Belle (GB) Jordan Nailor · Nigel Twiston-Davies	8/1

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Lavida Adiva Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	154	—	132	109	117	91	28d	—	—	-1	40.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Point winner; placed in two novice hurdles in the autumn; leading contender
8	Parkin Fine Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	65/2	-	114	75	44d	—	—	-14	13.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Off nearly two years before promising second at Huntingdon; may well go one better
14	Strong Belle Grey J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	154	—	84-62P	-	104	44	49d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
In and out; second on hurdle debut but folded tamely next time; needs to get back on track
13	Sister Julienne Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	154	—	327-2	-	96	-	72d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed in bumpers; some promise when second in maiden hurdle at Hereford; may improve
7	Miss Applejack Chestnut J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	154	—	8-130	-	-	-	40d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ludlow bumper winner; should have a future over hurdles; more appealing than many
2	Brief Statement Chestnut J:Craig Nichol T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Craig Nichol T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	t	1-54	-	94	66	26d	—	—	+3	8.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Irish point winner; retains potential but today's drop in distance is uncertain to suit
10	Purple Gown Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
1-28 on the Flat and a bit below par at Newcastle three weeks ago; hurdling debut
6	Milltown Lily Bay J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	154	t	5O-	-	-	50	—	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
23-race maiden, most of those runs on the Flat; others appeal more
1	Alanine Grey Roan J:Sean Quinlan T:John Davies	J:Sean Quinlan T:John Davies	154	t	35-F8	-	61	36	11d	—	—	0	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
0-2 in points, 0-7 on Flat and well beaten on sole completed hurdles start; hard to fancy
3	Izzy Bell Grey J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	154	t	36-P6P	86	104	-	35d	—	—	+8	9.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Placed at 250-1 at Carlisle in April but hasn't repeated the form
NR	Lady Hobbs Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Paul Collins	J:Ross Chapman T:Paul Collins	154	—	75-P	63	-	-	219d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Beaten out of sight in three runs; needs to be transformed by a seven-month break
NR	Presently Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	154	—	426	-	-	-	47d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Disappointing on stable debut in Kelso bumper seven weeks ago; bit to prove now hurdling
NR	Rialannah Chestnut J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	154	—	9	-	-	-	13d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well held in Listed bumper on debut; should do better but this is a quick turnaround
NR	She Won't Mind Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Reed	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Reed	154	—	53-105	-	87	60	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Point winner; hasn't shown much in bumper/novice hurdle; needs to up her game

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lavida Adiva	6/5	5/4	11/10	5/4	6/5
Parkin Fine	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Strong Belle	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Sister Julienne	8/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Miss Applejack	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Brief Statement	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Purple Gown	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Milltown Lily	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Alanine	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Izzy Bell	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lavida Adiva

40.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Parkin Fine

13.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Izzy Bell

9.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Brief Statement

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Sister Julienne

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Presently

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Lady Hobbs

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Strong Belle

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Miss Applejack

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Purple Gown

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Milltown Lily

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Alanine

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Rialannah

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

She Won't Mind

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lavida Adiva	109	117	91
Izzy Bell	86	104	—
Lady Hobbs	63	—	—
Parkin Fine	—	114	75
Strong Belle	—	104	44
Sister Julienne	—	96	—
Miss Applejack	—	—	—
Brief Statement	—	94	66
Purple Gown	—	—	—
Milltown Lily	—	—	50
Alanine	—	61	36
Presently	—	—	—
Rialannah	—	—	—
She Won't Mind	—	87	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alanine	11d ago	Quick return
Rialannah	13d ago	Quick return
Brief Statement	26d ago	Fit
Lavida Adiva	28d ago	Fit
She Won't Mind	28d ago	Fit
Izzy Bell	35d ago	Fit
Miss Applejack	40d ago	Fit
Parkin Fine	44d ago	Fit
Presently	47d ago	Fresh
Strong Belle	49d ago	Fresh
Sister Julienne	72d ago	Fresh
Lady Hobbs	219d ago	Long break
Purple Gown	—	—
Milltown Lily	—	—